“…The possibility to get a draft exemption and associated behaviour may also impact political preferences and attitudes. College education, for example, may lead to more political participation (Dee, 2004;Milligan, Moretti, and Oreopoulos; Kam and Palmer, 2008;Milstein Sondheimer and Green, 2009), affect political attitudes by increasing personal income (Morten, Tyran, and Wenström, 2011;Marshall, 2014), and leaving the country may shape preferences or opinions. We do not aim to isolate each of these possible channels separately, but subsume all of them into one effect which we call the direct effect, i.e., the effect which does not go through military service.…”