This literature study investigated methods and areas to deduce climate change and climate patterns, looking for short-term cycle phenomena and the means to interpret them. Many groups are actively engaged in intensive climate-related research. Ongoing research might be (overly) simplified into three categories: 1) historic data on weather that can be used for trend analysis and modeling; 2) detailed geological, biological (subfossil), and analytical (geochemical, radiocarbon, etc.) studies covering the last 10,000 years (about since last glaciation); and 3) geological, paleontological, and analytical (geochemical, radiometric, etc.) studies over millions of years. Of importance is our ultimate ability to join these various lines of inquiry into an effective means of interpretation. At this point, the process of integration is fraught with methodological troubles and misconceptions about what each group can contribute. This project has met its goals to the extent that it provided an opportunity to study resource materials and consider options for future effort toward the goal of understanding the natural climate variation that has shaped our current civilization.A further outcome of this project is a proposed methodology based on "climate sections" that provides spatial and temporal correlation within a region. The method would integrate cultural and climate data to establish the climate history of a region with increasing accuracy with progressive study and scientific advancement (e. g., better integration of regional and global models).i
EVALUATING SHORT-TERM CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN THE LATE HOLOCENE OF THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS EXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe debate over the importance of anthropogenic effects on the environment cannot be fully appreciated or resolved until human industrial, agricultural, and domestic impacts are understood in the context of natural climate change. Arguments over climate trends need to consider the recent geologic record. Placing events resulting from climatic fluctuations into the context of a span of time greater than human activity provides a more complete basis upon which to interpret human effect on the environment. The importance of a thorough understanding of this natural climate variability is heightened as greater preventive measures are enacted to restrict the release of greenhouse gases into the environment. Because actions taken on behalf of the environment will have global economic impacts, it is imperative that we develop a better understanding of global climate change to determine if modern climate trends are the result of human activity, natural variability, or some combination of these factors.Clearly, major changes in climate have occurred over geologic time, as well as significant changes during preindustrial civilizations. Ongoing studies indicate that variations in climate may have occurred regularly over the last few thousand years. The debate over the importance of natural climate variability versus anthropogenic causes of climate change cannot be resolved until mo...