Search citation statements
Paper Sections
Citation Types
Year Published
Publication Types
Relationship
Authors
Journals
A number of incremental electoral reforms have not measurably improved government performance in California. In this research note, we simulate and map electoral outcomes under a simple form of proportional representation: 16 five-seat districts for the 80-seat California Assembly. In addition to eliminating the institutional advantage that the largest party receives under the current system, our simulation suggests that PR would diversify the composition of both major parties, and provide limited opportunities for minor parties to effectively compete throughout the state. We demonstrate the usefulness of applying electoral systems theory as a test of claims about the consequences of reform.
A number of incremental electoral reforms have not measurably improved government performance in California. In this research note, we simulate and map electoral outcomes under a simple form of proportional representation: 16 five-seat districts for the 80-seat California Assembly. In addition to eliminating the institutional advantage that the largest party receives under the current system, our simulation suggests that PR would diversify the composition of both major parties, and provide limited opportunities for minor parties to effectively compete throughout the state. We demonstrate the usefulness of applying electoral systems theory as a test of claims about the consequences of reform.
Jarvis (2009) argues that ideological polarization in California's state legislature creates unique problems for the state because of the interaction between polarization and the requirement that the budget pass with a two-thirds supermajority. Thus, Jarvis argues that California should adopt a system of redistricting that produces more competitive elections in order to reduce polarization. However, that is the wrong solution. Increasing the number of competitive districts would have a minimal effect on polarization because polarization has other causes. Instead, the solution is to abandon the two-thirds budget requirement since polarization cannot be solved through redistricting, and increasing the number of competitive districts simply reduces representation. In several previous papers (Buchler 2005(Buchler , 2007a(Buchler , 2007b, I argued that promoting competitive elections makes elected officials less representative of their constituents' preferences and interests. Jarvis (2009) acknowledges that minimizing the number of competitive elections promotes representation, but argues that there are more important concerns than representation in California. In order for a budget to be approved by the state legislature, each chamber must pass the budget with a two-thirds supermajority rather than a simple majority. When two ideologically polarized parties must somehow cobble together a two-thirds supermajority in order to pass a budget, problems inevitably ensue. Hence, Jarvis argues that California should sacrifice representation in order to reduce polarization because the interaction between an ideologically polarized legislature, a two-thirds supermajority requirement, and several other factors causes too many problems. KEYWORDS: competition, redistricting, polarization, budget Journal ofIn order to reduce polarization, Jarvis (2009) argues that California should adopt a system of redistricting that creates more competitive districts. The premise of that argument is a common one. The post-2000 census round of redistricting in California was a classic example of a bipartisan gerrymander. In a bipartisan gerrymander, voters of each party are packed into relatively homogenous districts, thus guaranteeing each party a fixed number of safe seats, and eliminating any seats that might potentially be competitive in the general election. In the 2000 presidential election, 15 of California's 52 U.S. House districts had Bush and Gore separated by less than 10 points in the two-party vote. In the 2004 presidential election, only five of California's 53 House districts had Bush and Kerry separated by less than 10 points. Patterns were similar in both the Assembly and state Senate districts. Competitive districts were eliminated, and voters were packed into relatively homogenous districts that would be safe for either the Democrats or Republicans.Conventional wisdom holds that such bipartisan gerrymanders are responsible for ideological polarization in the legislature. After all, if legislators have no need to worry...
In 2009, Matthew Jarvis and I offered differing opinions in this journal about the potential effects of redistricting reform on California's budgetary process. Jarvis suggested redistricting reform could help the process by either reducing legislative polarization, or giving Democrats the supermajority necessary to pass their budget without partisan gridlock. I argued the best approach would be to eliminate supermajority requirements for fiscal policy. Now that the new district lines have been released under the process created by Proposition 11, we revisit our arguments. I expect California's legislature to remain polarized. While a two-thirds Democratic supermajority is possible, it is not probable, and legislative dysfunction will likely remain.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2025 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.