2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41591-021-01437-z
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Reduction in life expectancy in Brazil after COVID-19

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Cited by 107 publications
(108 citation statements)
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References 30 publications
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“…As well as COVID-19, the numbers of hospital deaths from Respiratory system diseases were also important in 2020, suggesting consequences of a scenario of weak preparedness like low numbers of available beds at the public hospitals. Indeed, as a result of failing to mitigate the spread (Castro et al, 2021b), estimates also show the high impact of COVID-19 in terms of reducing overall life expectancy in 1.3 years in Brazil, highlighting the impact of local inequities (Castro et al, 2021a). In addition, our results show disparities among ethnicity, which were also observed and related to socioeconomical status in previous analyses (Baqui et al, 2020;Castro et al, 2021b).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 72%
“…As well as COVID-19, the numbers of hospital deaths from Respiratory system diseases were also important in 2020, suggesting consequences of a scenario of weak preparedness like low numbers of available beds at the public hospitals. Indeed, as a result of failing to mitigate the spread (Castro et al, 2021b), estimates also show the high impact of COVID-19 in terms of reducing overall life expectancy in 1.3 years in Brazil, highlighting the impact of local inequities (Castro et al, 2021a). In addition, our results show disparities among ethnicity, which were also observed and related to socioeconomical status in previous analyses (Baqui et al, 2020;Castro et al, 2021b).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 72%
“…These subnational areas are historically less developed than other regions of the country (Castro et al, 2021a ; Lima et al, 2021 ). According to Castro et al ( 2021b ), overall life expectancy in Brazil will be reduced by 1.3 years in 2020, and some states in the northern part of the country observed declines greater than 3 years, reaching levels observed before 2010.
Fig.
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Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Using Brazil as a baseline for comparison, our estimates give 2.4 years of loss in overall life expectancy at birth. Using a different approach, Castro et al ( 2021b ) estimated 1.3 years of reductions in life expectancy in 2019 to 2020. One must bear in mind that we used different life tables and methods, and thus small differences between estimates should be expected.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Specifically, we take the prepandemic life tables to be cause-deleted life tables in which COVID-19 has been eliminated and recover all-cause life tables for 2021 that incorporate COVID-19 mortality. This strategy has been used in previous studies to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on 2020 life expectancy (Andrasfay & Goldman, 2021a, 2021bCastro et al, 2021;Heuveline & Tzen, 2021). Although this procedure does not incorporate excess mortality from causes other than COVID-19, our life expectancy at birth estimate of 1.3 years for the total US population based on this method (Andrasfay & Goldman, 2021b) was within 0.2-years of the official 1.5-year National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) estimate (Arias et al, 2021).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 98%