21Measuring peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2) with pulse oximeters at the point of care is widely established.
22However, since SpO2 is dependent on ambient atmospheric pressure, the distribution of SpO2 values in populations 23 living above 2000 m a.s.l. is largely unknown. Here, we propose and evaluate a computer model to predict SpO2 24 values for pediatric permanent residents living between 0 and 4000 m a.s.l. Based on a sensitivity analysis of 25 oxygen transport parameters, we created an altitude-adaptive SpO2 model that takes physiological adaptation of 26 permanent residents into account. From this model, we derived an altitude-adaptive abnormal SpO2 threshold 27 using patient parameters from literature. We compared the obtained model and threshold against a previously 28 proposed threshold derived statistically from data and two empirical datasets independently recorded from 29 Peruvian children living at altitudes up to 4100 m a.s.l. Our model followed the trends of empirical data, with the 30 empirical data having a narrower healthy SpO2 range below 2000 m a.s.l., but the medians did never differ more 31 than 2.29% across all altitudes. Our threshold estimated abnormal SpO2 in only 17 out of 5981 (0.3%) healthy 32 recordings, whereas the statistical threshold returned 95 (1.6%) recordings outside the healthy range. The strength 33 of our parametrised model is that it is rooted in physiology-derived equations and enables customisation. 34 Furthermore, as it provides a reference SpO2, it could assist practitioners in interpreting SpO2 values for diagnosis, 35 prognosis, and oxygen administration at higher altitudes. 36 New & Noteworthy 37 Our model describes the altitude-dependent decrease of SpO2 in healthy pediatric residents based on physiological 38 equations and can be adapted based on measureable clinical parameters. The proposed altitude-specific abnormal 39 SpO2 threshold might be more appropriate than rigid guidelines for administering oxygen that currently are only 40 available for sea level patients. We see this as a starting point to discuss and adapt oxygen administration 41 guidelines. 42 65 abnormal SpO2 threshold. The physiology-backed altitude-adaptive model describes SpO2 values of healthy 66 children living permanently at altitudes up to 4000 m a.s.l. With this model, we aim to provide a better 67 understanding of healthy SpO2 values at altitudes above 2000 m a.s.l. for healthy children. The altitude-adaptive 68 abnormal SpO2 threshold is obtained by setting the model parameters to abnormal values found in hypoxemic 69 patients. We evaluate these results with a novel dataset obtained from healthy children living in the rural Andes 70 of Peru. 71 2011. 426 22.