Reflections on the Use of Conceptual Research in Risk Analysis

Aven, Terje

doi:10.1111/risa.13139

Cited by 31 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 31 publications

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“…Although the means of advancing risk analysis science is often conceptual research (Aven, 2018a), where focus is on reasoning and argumentation, this research typically also has an empirical basis and is inspired by trends in risk problems addressed by applied risk analysis. In the following, we provide two examples of how relatively recent changes in society and developments in other sciences have influenced and led to developments in generic risk analysis.…”

Section: Current Developments and Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Foundational Challenges for Advancing the Field and Discipline of Risk Analysis

Aven

Flage

2020

Risk Analysis

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Risk analysis as a field and discipline is about concepts, principles, approaches, methods, and models for understanding, assessing, communicating, managing, and governing risk. The foundation of this field and discipline has been subject to continuous discussion since its origin some 40 years ago with the establishment of the Society for Risk Analysis and the Risk Analysis journal. This article provides a perspective on critical foundational challenges that this field and discipline faces today, for risk analysis to develop and have societal impact. Topics discussed include fundamental questions important for defining the risk field, discipline, and science; the multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary features of risk analysis; the interactions and dependencies with other sciences; terminology and fundamental principles; and current developments and trends, such as the use of artificial intelligence.

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Section: Current Developments and Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Foundational Challenges for Advancing the Field and Discipline of Risk Analysis

Aven

Flage

2020

Risk Analysis

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“…Risk science is using different types of research, as described in Aven (2018b), both empirical and conceptual. Example 1 on the precautionary principle is very much an illustration of conceptual research, whereas Example 2 is mainly empirical.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A good illustration of this is classifications of scientific areas, as used for example in research funding schemes, where risk science is not included (Hansson & Aven 2014). In recent years, considerable work has been conducted to clarify the scope and foundation of the risk science (e.g., SRA, 2015a, 2015b, 2017a, 2017b; Aven, 2018a,b; 2020a), but communication concerning this issue at scientific conferences and in various risk societies (such as SRA and ESRA—European Safety and Reliability Association) has convinced the present author that more work is needed to explain what this science is about and what it adds, compared to other disciplines. Theoretical work highlighting rationale and argumentation is important, but often concrete examples can be more informative and convincing.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk Science Contributions: Three Illustrating Examples

Aven¹

2020

Risk Analysis

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This article aims to demonstrate that risk science is important for society, industry and all of us. Rather few people today, including scientists and managers, are familiar with what this science is about-its foundation and main features-and how it is used to gain knowledge and improve communication and decision making in real-life situations. The article seeks to meet this challenge, by presenting three examples, showing how risk science works to gain new generic, fundamental knowledge on risk concepts, principles, and methods, as well as supporting the practical tackling of actual risk problems.

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“…The content was then analysed using content analysis approach as suggested by Neema et al [4] and Lavaei et al [29], among others. This study particularly used the Conceptual analysis [30,31] to Preprints (www.preprints.org) | NOT PEER-REVIEWED | Posted: 2 September 2019 doi:10.20944/preprints201909.0022.v1…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Barriers to Landslide Responses over the Mt. Elgon in Bududa District, Uganda

Namono¹,

Mugume²,

Negru³

et al. 2019

Preprint

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Landslides are natural disasters that normally cause misery over the Mount Elgon region, especially in Bududa district. A landslide early warning system was developed in collaboration with the community and this study investigated it’s effectiveness in disseminating warnings to the community. The data were collected from 82 respondents (mean age 43) and 4 focus group discussions (one per village). Majority of the respondents lost crops (35.9%); land (29.8%); lives and livestock (6.9%). The frequent occurrence of landslides is due to the changes in landuse patterns; settlement on steep slopes; and prolonged rainfall of low intensities. The study found that, 93.2% of respondents have ever received the warnings and alerts. 78.8% of those who received the warnings evacuated. The use of radios to disseminate warnings is the most efficient communication channel (44.4%) followed by using the clan members (19.5%). Only 40% of the women received the early warning through radios, an indicator that this channel puts women at a disadvantage. The main challenges regarding utilization of early warning system were: poor timing (29.9%); poor coordination (20.7%); and poor sensitization (18.4%). There is need to strengthen the community networks, and with continuous sensitization, the effectiveness of the landslides early warning will improve and this is expected to enhance the resilience of the community to landslides.

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Reflections on the Use of Conceptual Research in Risk Analysis

Cited by 31 publications

References 31 publications

Foundational Challenges for Advancing the Field and Discipline of Risk Analysis

Foundational Challenges for Advancing the Field and Discipline of Risk Analysis

Risk Science Contributions: Three Illustrating Examples

The Barriers to Landslide Responses over the Mt. Elgon in Bududa District, Uganda

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