Background
Women with a cytological diagnosis of atypical squamous cells, cannot exclude high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (ASC-H) are usually immediately referred to colposcopy. However, triage may reduce the burden of diagnostic work-up and avoid over-treatment.
Methods
A meta-analysis was conducted to assess the accuracy of hrHPV testing, and testing for other molecular markers to detect CIN of grade II or III or worse (CIN2+ or CIN3+) in women with ASC-H. An additional question assessed was whether triage is useful given the relatively high pre-triage probability of underlying precancer.
Results
The pooled absolute sensitivity and specificity for CIN2+ of HC2 (derived from 19 studies) was 93% (95% CI: 89–95%) and 45% (95% CI: 41–50%), respectively. The p16INK4a staining (only 3 studies) has similar sensitivity (93%, 95% CI:75–100%) but superior specificity (specificity ratio: 1.69) to HC2 for CIN2+. Testing for PAX1 gene methylation (only 1 study) showed a superior specificity of 95% (specificity ratio: 2.08). The average pre-test risk was 34% for CIN2+ and 20% for CIN3+. A negative HC2 result decreased this to 8% and 5%, whereas a positive result upgraded the risk to 47% and 28%.
Conclusions
Due to the high probability of precancer in ASC-H, the utility of triage is limited. The usual recommendation to refer women with ASC-H to colposcopy is not altered by a positive triage test, whatever the test used. A negative hrHPV DNA or p16INK4a test may allow for repeat testing but this recommendation will depend on local decision thresholds for referral.