Regional-Scale Assessment of the Climatic Role of Forests Under Future Climate Conditions

Gálos, Borbála; Jacob, Daniela

doi:10.5772/33260

Cited by 2 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…The temperature change signals for potential afforestation (-0.3 --0.4 °C) are weaker than for GHG concentration change (+2.1 -+2.4 °C; Figure 5). In smaller areas, climate change mitigating effect of potential afforestation can be stronger (Gálos -Jacob, 2012). Based on the A2 emission scenario, 28 % precipitation decrease (-66 mm) is expected in the Northern French area.…”

Section: Temperature and Precipitation Meansmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One of the scientific goals of the EC-FP7 project CC-TAME (Climate Change -Terrestrial Adaptation and Mitigation in Europe) was to prepare fine-scale studies for the assessment of the climate protecting effects of land cover and land use change (e.g. Gálos -Jacob 2012). In order to contribute to this aim we prepared a regional scale case study to assess…”

Section: Erdőtelepítés / Felszín-légkör Kölcsönhatás / Klímaváltozás Mérsékelő Hatás / Időjárási Szélsőségek 1 Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Role of Forests in Mitigating Climate Change – a Case Study for Europe

Gálos¹,

Hänsler²,

Kindermann³

et al. 2012

Acta Silvatica Et Lignaria Hungarica

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- A regional-scale case study has been carried out to assess the possible climatic benefits of forest cover increase in Europe. For the end of the 21st century (2071-2090) it has been investigated, whether the projected climate change could be reduced assuming potential afforestation of the continent. The magnitude of the biogeophysical effects of enhanced forest cover on temperature and precipitation means and extremes have been analyzed relative to the magnitude of the climate change signal applying the regional climate model REMO. The simulation results indicate that in the largest part of the temperate zone potential afforestation may reduce the projected climate change through cooler and moister conditions, thus could contribute to the mitigation of the projected climate change for the entire summer period. The largest relative effect of forest cover increase can be expected in northern Germany, Poland and Ukraine. Here, the projected precipitation decrease could be fully compensated, the temperature increase could be relieved by up to 0.5 °C, and the probability of extremely warm and dry days could be reduced. Results can help to identify the areas, where forest cover increase could be the most effective from climatic point of view. Thus they can build an important basis of the future adaptation strategies and forest policy.

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Section: Temperature and Precipitation Meansmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Erdőtelepítés / Felszín-légkör Kölcsönhatás / Klímaváltozás Mérsékelő Hatás / Időjárási Szélsőségek 1 Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Role of Forests in Mitigating Climate Change – a Case Study for Europe

Gálos¹,

Hänsler²,

Kindermann³

et al. 2012

Acta Silvatica Et Lignaria Hungarica

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Studies have shown that the biophysical effects of forestation on climate can be harnessed in mitigating regional climate change. Using regional climate simulations, Chen et al () and Gálos and Jacob () show that forestation may induce a net cooling effect and reduce the severity of drought over the United States and Hungary, respectively. Abiodun et al () showed that forestation may reduce the projected warming over the forested region in West Africa.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential impacts of forestation on future climate change in Southern Africa

Naik

Abiodun

2016

Intl Journal of Climatology

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Many studies have projected future climate changes over Southern Africa, but without including the influence of on-going forestation activities in the region. The present study investigates how the forestation activities may alter the projected climate change. For the study, two regional climate models (RegCM and WRF) were applied to simulate the present-day climate and future climate (2030-2064; IPCC RCP 4.5), with and without forestation. The simulations account for the potential impacts of natural bush encroachment and commercial forestation activities over the eastern part of South Africa. The results agree with previous studies that found that the RCP4.5 emission scenario would induce warming over Southern Africa in the future, but the results further indicate that forestation would enhance the warming over the forested area and induce cooling elsewhere. The additional warming over the forested area is due to the albedo effect of the forestation, while the cooling is due to the dynamic feedback of the local warming induced by the forestation. For similar reasons, the forestation would induce wet and dry conditions over different areas in the sub-continent in the future. As a result of its combined influences on rainfall and temperature, the forestation would enhance summer drought frequency over some areas but reduce it over other areas in Southern Africa. The simulations suggest that using forestation to mitigate the impacts of global warming may produce unintended climate impacts over some areas in Southern Africa. Hence, before embarking on large-scale forestation, the biophysical effects of forestation in Southern Africa should be weighed against the biogeochemical benefits.

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Regional-Scale Assessment of the Climatic Role of Forests Under Future Climate Conditions

Cited by 2 publications

References 58 publications

The Role of Forests in Mitigating Climate Change – a Case Study for Europe

The Role of Forests in Mitigating Climate Change – a Case Study for Europe

Potential impacts of forestation on future climate change in Southern Africa

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