Regulator Communication and Market Confidence in Difficult Times: Lessons From the Great Financial Crisis

Abstract

Communication with financial markets is an important task carried out by financial market supervisory bodies. In times of crisis, this can contribute to spreading confidence and calming markets. In light of the 10th anniversary of the last financial crisis, we examine the effect the UK Financial Services Authority (FSA), as the financial market regulator during that period, had on market confidence. Our aim is to derive lessons to aid the current supervisor in potential future crises. Analyzing the period 2006-2009, we find that both more positivity and uncertainty in tone in communications could either reduce or increase stock market volatility, depending on the type of communication and communicator. Further analysis also shows distinct impacts on short-term and long-term market volatility. The findings highlight the importance of considering source and type of communication when decisions on who communicates with the market are made. These results can be of use for any regulatory authority that communicates with financial markets to increase effectiveness of their messages.

Does the real estate market behavior predict the trust crisis in the financial sector? The case of the ECB and the Euro

“…Despite a growing body of research exploring the driving forces for trust (Calderón et al, 2002;Roth, 2009;Ennew et al, 2011;Savchenko et al, 2017;Van der Cruijsen et al, 2019;Zandi et al, 2020;Sági et al, 2020;Khadidja, 2020), confidence (Owens, 2012;Gower et al, 2019;Abunyuwah, 2020), sentiment (Dow, 2011;Uygur & Taş, 2014;Yacob et al, 2020) in the financial sector, surprisingly, little attention has been directed to the real estate market behavior that might warn of an impending trust crisis in the financial sector. Therefore, this study is intended to fill the gap in the literature by incorporating the real estate market behavior along with financial sector consumers' feelings to predict trust crises in the financial sector.…”