Reinterpreting two regime shifts in North Sea plankton communities through the lens of functional traits

Abstract

Aim The so‐called regime shifts in North Sea plankton communities provide an important historical case study to understand marine regime shifts. Previous studies characterized regime shifts using a variety of community metrics (e.g., indicator species abundances, taxonomic composition and chlorophyll biomass) but left the functional traits of plankton unassessed. Here, we explicitly re‐assess the historically recognized North Sea regime shifts through the lens of plankton functional traits to gain a better understanding of these events. Location The North Sea (NW European shelf). Time period 1958–2018, focusing on the 1980s and 1996–2003 regime shifts. Major taxa studied Marine phyto‐ and zooplankton. Methods We compute trait spaces for both phyto‐ and zooplankton of the North Sea using traits from the literature and a Gower's distance‐based method. Using abundance data from the Continuous Plankton Recorder Survey, we then compute monthly time series of the centroids of the communities, an indicator of functional composition. We then use principal component analysis on the centroids to assess the main temporal changes in plankton functional composition associated with the 1980s and 1996–2003 regime shifts. Results Little change in plankton functional composition was associated with the 1980s regime shift. In contrast, the functional composition of plankton communities changed markedly after the 1996–2003 regime shift, with an increase in the summer relative abundance of non‐motile autotrophs (i.e., diatoms) and the spring relative abundance of meroplankton. Main conclusions The North Sea regime shifts were not associated systematically with changes in functional composition, calling into question the definition of regime shifts and illustrating the importance of taking different metrics into account to interpret ecological events accurately. Taking into account functional composition, we interpret the 1980s so‐called regime shift as a latitudinal shift in communities that was insufficient to impact functional composition and the 1996–2003 so‐called regime shift as a period of change in bentho‐pelagic coupling.

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