SUMMARYResearch is ongoing to increase the functionality of the fire zone modeling software BRANZFIRE, by converting it from a deterministic to a probabilistic model. One component of this work is the development of a radiative fire spread submodel for which a suitable ignition criterion method is needed. This paper provides details of that ignition criterion procedure and its implementation into the submodel.A list of requirements that the ignition methodology had to satisfy was established. Of the many different piloted ignition models available, the Flux-Time Product technique, and its associated ignition criterion, was selected to be incorporated into the fire spread submodel. This method provides a practical engineering approximation of when a secondary fuel item that is subjected to incident radiation will ignite that is commensurate with the accuracy of the overall model.Primarily to demonstrate the use of the technique in the submodel, a series of ignition experiments were conducted on a single example of upholstered furniture using the Cone Calorimeter apparatus, with specimens tested in both the horizontal and vertical orientation, under piloted and auto ignition conditions. The experimental incident radiation and time-to-ignition data, for the piloted ignition mode, was analyzed using a modified Flux-Time Product correlation procedure.To deal with the auto ignition mode, an empirical approximation, based on the modified Flux-Time Product procedure, is proposed. Data for use in the submodel was therefore also derived for the auto ignition mode, based on an experimental determination of the minimum ignition flux.