In this paper, we study random representations of fundamental groups of surfaces into special unitary groups. The random model we use is based on a symplectic form on moduli space due to Atiyah, Bott and Goldman. Let $$\Sigma _{g}$$
Σ
g
denote a topological surface of genus $$g\ge 2$$
g
≥
2
. We establish the existence of a large n asymptotic expansion, to any fixed order, for the expected value of the trace of any fixed element of $$\pi _{1}(\Sigma _{g})$$
π
1
(
Σ
g
)
under a random representation of $$\pi _{1}(\Sigma _{g})$$
π
1
(
Σ
g
)
into $$\mathsf {SU}(n)$$
SU
(
n
)
. Each such expected value involves a contribution from all irreducible representations of $$\mathsf {SU}(n)$$
SU
(
n
)
. The main technical contribution of the paper is effective analytic control of the entire contribution from irreducible representations outside finite sets of carefully chosen rational families of representations.