Research on Current Situation Evaluation and Demand Forecast of Water Resources Utilization in the Industrial Development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

Abstract

Clarifying the changes in the utilization of water resources and future demand in the industrial development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region plays an important supporting role in realizing the optimal allocation of water resources for the industrial development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. To this end, the researchers carry out research on the current situation evaluation and demand forecast of water resources utilization in the industrial development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. First, the researchers use the industrial structure variation coefficient method to evaluate the industrial structure variation coefficient of the industrial development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei in different periods; secondly, the researchers evaluate the changes in the status quo of the industrial and agricultural water resources utilization and water resource utilization efficiency in different periods in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. On this basis, the researchers the water used for the development of the three industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in different periods is estimated. Then, the researchers use the trend extrapolation method to reasonably predict the industrial structure of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during the planning period, and determine the total industrial development production value of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during the planning period. At last, the researchers use the trend extrapolation method to predict the water efficiency of industrial development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during the planning period, and finally determine the water demand for industrial development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during the planning period.