Research on the Factors Influencing Carbon Emissions of Energy Consumption in Anhui Province

Abstract

As a province with coal-based energy structure, it becomes particularly important to balance the relationship between economy, energy and environment in Anhui Province. This study takes the energy sector of Anhui Province as the research object, takes the energy balance sheet of Anhui Province as the empirical data, calculates and analyzes the carbon emission of energy consumption and the change characteristics of Anhui Province from 2005 to 2022, uses LMDI factor analysis to quantify the contribution of economic development, energy consumption intensity, etc. to carbon emission, and introduces LEAP model to establish four scenarios for Anhui Province from 2025 to 2030 for energy consumption The trend of energy consumption and carbon emission in Anhui Province from 2025 to 2030 is forecasted, and the consumption of non-clean energy in Anhui Province is further analyzed to provide some political reference for the development strategy of energy conservation and emission reduction in Anhui Province.