Research on the risk of imbalanced development of land urbanization and population urbanization——Evidence from Shaanxi Province, China

Abstract

As land urbanization and population urbanization are two basic elements in the development of new urbanization, their coordinated development is very important. Based on the comprehensive evaluation method of AHP, PCA and ANP, this paper calculates the coordinated development level of land urbanization and population urbanization in Shaanxi Province of China, and predicts the risks if the development is imbalanced. The results show that the development of population urbanization in Shaanxi Province lagged behind during 2010–2015, in 2008–2009 and during 2016–2020, the development of land urbanization lagged behind. Among the risks of imbalance between land urbanization and population urbanization in Shaanxi Province, the risk of economic development is the highest, followed by the risk of resources and environment, the risk of residents` life and the risk of public service, respectively. Therefore, the risk of imbalance between land urbanization and population urbanization should be prevented and defused by creating jobs, optimizing spatial distribution, improving social security, reducing dependence on land finance, deepening the reform of household registration system, and optimizing environmental protection mechanism.