Research on the Sustainable Operation of Low-Carbon Tourism Supply Chain under Sudden Crisis Prediction

Abstract

This paper integrates a low-carbon tourism supply chain consisting of a low-carbon tourist attraction (LTA) providing a low-carbon service and an online travel agency (OTA) responsible for big data marketing. Consumers may also encounter sudden crisis events that occur in the tourist attraction during their visit, and the occurrence of crisis events can damage the low-carbon goodwill of the tourist attraction to the detriment of the sustainable development of the supply chain. Therefore, this paper aims to investigate how tourism firms can develop dynamic strategies in the pre-crisis environment if they envision the occurrence of a crisis event and how crisis events affect interfirm cooperation. This paper uses stochastic jump processes to portray the dynamic evolution of low-carbon goodwill in the context of crisis events and introduces the methods of the differential game and Bellman’s continuous dynamic programming theory to study the sustainable operations of low-carbon tourism supply chains. Our findings provide important managerial insights for enterprises in the tourism supply chain and suggest that they need to not only become aware of the tourist attraction crisis events, but also, more importantly, they need to adjust their appropriate input strategies based on the degree of anticipation of the crisis.

Supply chain management in times of crisis: a systematic review

“…• Others include decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) (Miao et al 2014 ), Delphi (von der Gracht and Darkow 2013 ), dynamic programming (Zhang et al 2021 ), entropy analysis (Lu et al 2019 ), equilibrium displacement model (Xiao 2010 ), event sequence analysis (Sprecher et al 2017 ), fault tree analysis (Kumar and Havey 2013 ), failure mode, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA) (Raab et al 2013 ), flow modelling (Lehmann et al 2011 ), fuzzy quality function deployment (Tamtam and Tourabi 2021 ), genetic algorithm and multi-choice goal programming (Razavi et al 2021 ), inductive case-based reasoning ensemble (ICBRE) (Li et al 2012 ), Petri-nets (Wang et al 2016 ), Pugh matrix approach and Monte Carlo simulation (Baležentis et al 2021 ), and Theory of Constraints (Yang et al 2009 )…”

Value-Chain in Beach Tourism: The Consideration of Maslahah in Strategic Formulation

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