Resilience Analysis of Countries under Disasters Based on Multisource Data

Abstract

Disasters occur almost daily in the world. Because emergencies frequently have no precedent, are highly uncertain, and can be very destructive, improving a country's resilience is an efficient way to reduce risk. In this article, we collected more than 20,000 historical data points from disasters from 207 countries to enable us to calculate the severity of disasters and the danger they pose to countries. In addition, 6 primary indices (disaster, personal attribute, infrastructure, economics, education, and occupation) including 38 secondary influencing factors are considered in analyzing the resilience of countries. Using these data, we obtained the danger, expected number of deaths, and resilience of all 207 countries. We found that a country covering a large area is more likely to have a low resilience score. Through sensitivity analysis of all secondary indices, we found that population density, frequency of disasters, and GDP are the three most critical factors affecting resilience. Based on broad-spectrum resilience analysis of the different continents, Oceania and South America have the highest resilience, while Asia has the lowest. Over the past 50 years, the resilience of many countries has been improved sharply, especially in developing countries. Based on our results, we analyze the comprehensive resilience and provide some optimal suggestions to efficiently improve resilience.

Disaster-Related Resilience as Ability and Process: A Concept Guiding the Analysis of Response Behavior before, during and after Extreme Events

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Optimizing Island Refuges against global Catastrophic and Existential Biological Threats: Priorities and Preparations

“…A review of catastrophe response found that education is associated with high levels of resilience (Zhang & Huang, 2018). Several publications that detail features of a successful refuge suggest the importance of education or the preservation of knowledge (Baum et al., 2015; Maher & Baum, 2013).…”

The Prioritization of Island Nations as Refuges from Extreme Pandemics

“…We disagree that the island should be “sparsely populated” because larger, denser populations are more resilient and have better capacity to sustain technological flourishing. A 2018 review of catastrophes found that a high population density (with infrastructure, strong economy, and education), focused on a small land area, with a history of exposure to disasters, and a high GDP, was associated with higher levels of resilience (Zhang & Huang, ). This further justifies our general approach, and suggests that further research into the factors that enhance resilience would be useful.…”