Resilience, Regime Shifts, and Guided Transition under Climate Change: Examining the Practical Difficulties of Managing Continually Changing Systems

Lin, Brenda B.; Petersen, Brian

doi:10.5751/es-05128-180128

Cited by 29 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Management of sea‐level rise (or flooding) commonly includes climate‐targeted engineering options such as building physical structures, adding sand or shingle (beach nourishment; Berry et al. ), or constructing man‐made living reefs (e.g., oyster beds; Lin and Petersen ). Engineered structures are highly debated as ecological management tools because, while they can control inundation and help retain riparian or coastal vegetation, they prevent landward migration of tidal vegetation (Hulme , Greenwood et al.…”

Section: Quadrant B: Climate‐targeted Options To Evade or Ameliorate mentioning

confidence: 99%

Shifting the conservation paradigm: a synthesis of options for renovating nature under climate change

Prober

Doerr

Broadhurst

et al. 2019

Ecological Monographs

160

155

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Changes in Earth's climate are accelerating, prompting increasing calls to ensure that investments in ecological restoration and nature conservation accommodate such changes. To acknowledge this need, we propose the term “ecological renovation” to describe ecological management and nature conservation actions that actively allow for environmental change. To evaluate and progress the development of ecological renovation and related intervention options in a climate change context, we reviewed the literature and established a typology of options that have been proposed. We explored how these options address emerging principles underpinning climate‐adapted conservation goals and whether the balance of approaches reflected in our typology is likely to be sufficient given expected rapid rates of climate change. Our typology recognizes a matrix of 23 intervention option types arranged on the basis of underpinning ecological mechanisms (“ameliorate changing conditions” or “build adaptive capacity”) on one axis, and the nature of the tools used to manipulate them (“low regrets” or “climate targeted”) on the other. Despite a burgeoning literature since 2008, we found that the majority of effort has consistently focused on low‐regrets adaptation approaches that aim to build adaptive capacity. This is in many ways desirable, but a paradigm shift enabling greater attention to climate‐targeted approaches is likely to be needed as climate change accelerates. When assessed against five emerging principles for setting nature conservation goals in a changing climate, only one option type could deliver to all five, and we identified a conflict between climate‐targeted options and “wildness” values that calls for deeper evaluation. Importantly, much of the inference in the 473 reviewed studies was drawn from ecological reasoning and modeling, with only 16% offering new empirical evidence. We also noted significant biases toward North America and Europe, forest ecosystems, trees, and vertebrates. To address these limitations and help shift the paradigm toward humans as “renovators” rather than “restorers” of a prior world, we propose that ecological researchers contribute by (1) informing societal discourse toward adapting nature conservation goals to climate change, (2) adjusting and upscaling conservation planning to accommodate this suite of climate‐adapted goals, and (3) reconceptualizing experimental approaches to increase empirical evidence and expedite innovation of tools to address change.

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Section: Quadrant B: Climate‐targeted Options To Evade or Ameliorate mentioning

confidence: 99%

Shifting the conservation paradigm: a synthesis of options for renovating nature under climate change

Prober

Doerr

Broadhurst

et al. 2019

Ecological Monographs

160

155

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Detailed process-based ecosystem research that identifies and studies critical species interactions and feedback loops, coupled with scenario modelling of future conditions, could provide valuable insights (Kimmins et al 1999Walker and Meyers 2004). Also, rather than pushing systems across thresholds into alternative states, climate change may create a stepwise progression to unknown transitional states that track changing climate conditions, requiring a more graduated approach in management decisions (Lin and Petersen 2013).…”

Section: Ecosystem Responses To Climatementioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impacts and adaptation in forest management: a review

Keenan

2015

Annals of Forest Science

478

303

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Abstract& Key message Adaptation of forest management to climate change requires an understanding of the effects of climate on forests, industries and communities; prediction of how these effects might change over time; and incorporation of this knowledge into management decisions. This requires multiple forms of knowledge and new approaches to forest management decisions. Partnerships that integrate researchers from multiple disciplines with forest managers and local actors can build a shared understanding of future challenges and facilitate improved decision making in the face of climate change.

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“…Other scholars believed that adaptation was a component of resilience that was related to the learning capability of urban systems to respond to disasters. Adaptation reflected the positive changes of urban systems in response to disasters [51]. Carreño et al indicated that the development of adaptation of urban systems should be the necessary condition for improving resilience in the case of climate change [52].…”

Section: Relationship Between Resilience and Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Systematic Review of Research on Anti-disaster Capability in Urban Disaster

Liu¹,

Шу²,

Lin³

et al. 2017

JESTR

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Since the 20th century, the number of disasters, economic losses, and people affected by disasters occurred in cities all over the world has been increasing significantly due to increased contradictions in population, resources, and the environment. Therefore, anti-disaster capability as the core concept of research on urban sustainable development has become a common concern in many disciplines, such as ecology, disaster management, and climate change. To summarize the basic connotations, characteristics, and quantitative assessment methods of anti-disaster capability in urban disaster, and to extract its context and development trend, our study analyzed the concept and characteristics of anti-urban disaster capability, examined the mutual relationship among anti-disaster capability, adaptation, vulnerability, and resilience, and reviewed the concepts of and assessment research on three concentrated fields (i.e., adaptation, vulnerability, and resilience) on the basis of global literature on anti-disaster capability. On this basis, our study then analyzed the main problems in current research on anti-disaster capability, overlooked the key issues and the future research direction of anti-disaster capability. The findings will provide an important technical reference for the implementation of integrated disaster management and mitigation measures.

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Resilience, Regime Shifts, and Guided Transition under Climate Change: Examining the Practical Difficulties of Managing Continually Changing Systems

Cited by 29 publications

References 37 publications

Shifting the conservation paradigm: a synthesis of options for renovating nature under climate change

Shifting the conservation paradigm: a synthesis of options for renovating nature under climate change

Climate change impacts and adaptation in forest management: a review

A Systematic Review of Research on Anti-disaster Capability in Urban Disaster

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