Responding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Uganda

Kozicka, Marta; Gotor, Elisabetta; Ocimati, W.; Jager, Tamar de; Kikulwe, Enoch; Groot, J.C.J.

doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102864

Cited by 23 publications

(20 citation statements)

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“…Three recent studies tried to bridge the knowledge gap on the relation between the long-term impacts of global changes on agrobiodiversity and their role in reaching global development goals [23][24][25]. The studies provided initial insights into the impacts of global drivers of change on socioecological systems and assessed ex-ante strategies -those based on agrobiodiversity, in particular -that improve system resilience and generate synergies across sustainable development goals.…”

Section: What Research Has Been Done?mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In both studies, the tool was applied to a case-study of Tanzania until 2030 under various land-use management strategies, focusing on agroforestry and silvopasture. In the third study, Kozicka et al linked IMPACT to a bio-economic farm-household optimization model, FarmDESIGN, to assess the impacts of crop diversity on vulnerability and resilience of a small-scale farm-household in Uganda in 2050 in response to future climate change and a large-scale banana disease outbreak [23,29].…”

Section: What Research Has Been Done?mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, it is expected that climate change will increase the frequency and severity of pest and disease outbreaks [36,37]. Kozicka et al considered a specific farm-household with multiple objectives, such as higher income, better nutrition and healthy soil [23]. The authors then analyzed how each of these objectives could be affected by future changes in the food systems as a result of climate change, as well as a severe banana disease outbreak.…”

Section: What Has the Research Found?mentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Future of Sustainable Development and Agrobiodiversity in Tanzania and Uganda

Kozicka¹,

Enahoro²,

Groot³

et al. 2021

Preprint

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This document is part of a series of short papers on “The Future of X”, produced as part of foresight-related research supported by the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets, and edited by Keith Wiebe (IFPRI) and Steven Prager (Alliance of Bioversity and CIAT). These short papers are intended to provide a focused, forward-looking perspective on key issues to support discussion on food, land, and water systems transformation. We thank two anonymous reviewers for their comments on an earlier draft.This is an accepted version presented as a pre-print. It is currently undergoing final revision, editing, and production. A final version will be made available at http://foresight.cgiar.org.

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Section: What Research Has Been Done?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: What Research Has Been Done?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: What Has the Research Found?mentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Future of Sustainable Development and Agrobiodiversity in Tanzania and Uganda

Kozicka¹,

Enahoro²,

Groot³

et al. 2021

Preprint

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“…In agricultural landscapes, implementing agroecological practices, such as enhancing associated and targeted biodiversity, can expand livelihood strategies, and reduce environmental and economic vulnerability (Abson et al 2013, Bezner Kerr et al 2019, Kozicka et al 2020, Tamburini et al 2020. With the rising interest in agrobiodiversity and agroforestry as farming interventions that confer ecological and socioeconomic benefits, understanding the intended pathway of interventions is important for successful agroecological transformations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Farmer networks and agrobiodiversity interventions: the unintended outcomes of intended change

Isaac¹,

Nyantakyi-Frimpong²,

Matouš³

et al. 2021

E&S

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Agroecosystem strategies to enhance agrobiodiversity can curb many of the negative impacts associated with current food production systems. With rising interest in agrobiodiversity and agroforestry as farming interventions that confer ecological and socioeconomic benefits, understanding the intended pathways of interventions is important for successful agroecological transformations. Yet, the patterns of agrobiodiversity introduction and adoption remain elusive. Drawing upon social network research from the regions of Ghana where cocoa (Theobroma cacao) is grown, we synthesize the relationships between agroforestry interventions, information networks, and the adoption of diversified agroecosystems. We illustrate middle-level patterns from independent studies in three regions of Ghana and nearly 500 farmer interviews. Strong structural indicators at the network level are linked to agrobiodiversity; farmers in larger, less dense information networks with ties to external organizations tend to have higher reported and measured agrobiodiversity. Remarkably, these trends were found in environmentally and socio-culturally different contexts in Ghana. However, these trends do not, in all cases, scale to the community level. For example, we did not observe any clear relationship between the density of community networks and the measures of agrobiodiversity at the community scale. This may be on account of the type of agrobiodiversity measure applied (above-ground biomass) to assess community-level outcomes. Selection of environmental attributes with meaningful spillover effects, such as pest management, would more likely uncover nontrivial network effects at the collective level. Our findings support that both innovation and cooperation are indispensable for successful agrobiodiversity interventions, and that networks can operate to overcome negative outcomes of agrobiodiversity. Based on these studies, we conclude that agrobiodiversity adoption via interventions and established farmer-to-farmer networks may trigger the formation of other, observation-based networks that draw in socially distant actors. Our research strategy of ex-post qualitative comparisons allowed for in-depth insight into the complexities of information networks and agrobiodiversity adoption but also generated new hypotheses on the role of social networks in diversified farming systems.

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“…Consequently, to ensure sustainability of the global food system in the future, there is a need to not only change human diets, but also redesign the livestock sector to operate in ways that meet or enhance environmental and nutritional goals (Herrero et al 2021). The key role in managing the trade-offs and co-benefits will belong to the agricultural management practices (Power 2010;Kozicka et al 2020;Morris et al 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cross-scale trade-off analysis for sustainable development: linking future demand for animal source foods and ecosystem services provision to the SDGs

et al. 2021

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Dietary transition towards higher consumption of animal source foods (ASF) associated with higher incomes across low and middle-income countries could have negative impacts on environmental systems and their potential in the long run to provide services necessary for achieving multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In this article, we integrate economic, land use allocation, and biophysical models to investigate trade-offs between the five ecosystem services and their contributions to various SDGs associated with agricultural expansion to meet future demand for ASF, using Tanzania as a case study. Our results show that under the scenario of sustainable socio-economic development, between 2010 and 2030 in Tanzania, per capita income grows by 169% and the share of population at risk of hunger declines from 34.8% to 23%. These changes can be associated on a macro-level with positive contributions to achievement of SDG 1 (No Poverty) and SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). To satisfy feed demand for increased livestock production domestically, an increase by 21.4% of biomass production as compared to 2010 is needed. Analysis of alternative scenarios for meeting this new demand shows potential threats on a landscape level to achieving numerous SDGs and more generally to attaining sustainable food systems. Ecosystem-based contributions primarily decline to SDGs: SDG 3 (Health), SDG 6 (Clean Water), SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities), SDG 13 (Climate) and SDG 15 (Terrestrial Life). We find that higher crop productivity and redesign of agro-ecosystems to increase on-farm tree cover could significantly limit these losses. Alternatively, the growing demand for ASF could be satisfied with imports, which would allow for reducing the trade-offs locally. However, this would result in at least partially only displacing ecosystem service losses to the exporting countries.

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Responding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Uganda

Cited by 23 publications

References 61 publications

The Future of Sustainable Development and Agrobiodiversity in Tanzania and Uganda

The Future of Sustainable Development and Agrobiodiversity in Tanzania and Uganda

Farmer networks and agrobiodiversity interventions: the unintended outcomes of intended change

Cross-scale trade-off analysis for sustainable development: linking future demand for animal source foods and ecosystem services provision to the SDGs

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