T he prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has increased during the past years worldwide, 1 imposing a major burden on health-care systems. It is important to prevent CKD, thereby to reduce the need for renal replacement therapy and the rising morbidity and mortality associated with end-stage renal disease.2 Therefore, an efficient individual prediction of CKD progression is warranted.Several factors are involved in CKD progression, including baseline renal function, age, ethnicity, diabetes mellitus, blood pressure, use of renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blocker, and albuminuria.3-9 Despite these single predictive factors, an individual prediction of CKD progression remains difficult. Interestingly, all of the factors described above additionally influence the microcirculation and contribute to intraglomerular pressure.10-16 Thus, it is not surprising that renal microvascular pathology has been considered an important factor in CKD progression. 17 One pathophysiological aspect of the microcirculation is vascular remodeling in small arteries, including microvascular narrowing. 18,19 The latter can be assessed by noninvasive retinal vessel analysis.20,21 Narrow retinal arterioles are associated with age, black race, hypertension, and albuminuria. Ooi et al 22 and our group described narrow retinal arteries in patients with advanced CKD. 23,24 Similar to systemic arteriolar narrowing, the retinal and preglomerular arterioles could show the same effects.25 Narrow preglomerular arterioles increase intraglomerular pressure and contribute to the glomerular defect, determined by albuminuria, as has been demonstrated in spontaneously hypertensive rats and in patients with diabetes mellitus. [25][26][27][28] We hypothesize that retinal arteriolar narrowing predicts CKD progression and subsequently renal end points. Moreover and of importance to clinical practice, we hypothesize that Abstract-Retinal arteriolar narrowing reflects aging, hypertension, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and other vascular processes. We examined the predictive value of retinal arteriolar narrowing alone and in combination with albuminuria on renal disease progression in CKD. A white CKD stage 2 to 4 cohort of 164 men and women (60.8±13.8 years) underwent retinal photography and determination of albuminuria. The calibers of all retinal arterioles were measured after digital conversion of the photographs. Cases of incident renal end points defined as 50% renal function loss and start of renal replacement therapy were identified and validated by case record reviews. Over an average period of 1410 (range, 106-1606) days, 25 patients with CKD had incident renal end points. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with CKD within the tertile of narrowest arterioles had more renal end points (log-rank P<0.001). Cox regression analysis confirmed this before (β=1.183±0.411) and after adjusting for age and baseline renal function (β=1.204±0.416). With respect to renal end points, a significant interaction was present between narrow arterioles and a...