Importance: Long-term stability in plasma glucose may affect the development of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and diabetic macular oedema (DMO).Background: To investigate the associations between glycaemic variability and the development of DR and DMO in type 2 diabetes (T2D).Design: An 8-year prospective cohort study. Participants: 2005 patients with T2D.Methods: DR and DMO were detected with non-mydriatic fundus photography.
Main outcome measures:The visit-to-visit variability of fasting glucose or HbA1c was calculated as the standard deviation (SD) or coefficient of variation (CV = SD/mean) of all records during the follow-up periods or before the onset of the targeted event. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) for new-onset DR, proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), and DMO.Results: After adjusting for the baseline and mean follow-up values, the SD and CV of fasting glucose during the follow-up periods were both correlated with the development of PDR (SD: HR = 1.011, P = .005; CV: HR = 6.858, P < .001), and DMO (SD: HR = 1.008, P = .038; CV: HR = 4.027, P = .017). As for HbA1c, neither the SD nor CV was correlated with the development of DR, PDR, or DMO (P > .05 for all).
Conclusions and relevance:High visit-to-visit fasting glucose variability was associated with new-onset PDR and DMO, independent of baseline and mean follow-up fasting glucose and HbA1c in T2D. Long-term stability in plasma glucose is important for reducing the risk of the development and progression for DR and DMO.
K E Y W O R D Sdiabetes mellitus, diabetic macular oedema, diabetic retinopathy, glycaemic variability