Reverse mortgages and aircraft parts: The arcane referendum and the limits of citizen competence

Cozza, Joseph Francesco; Elkins, Zachary; Hudson, Alexander

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102408

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…Voters may not understand what they are voting on, particularly when it comes to referendums with costs associated. Recent evidence suggests that voters have little understanding of the relationship between tax increases presented on the ballot and their actual tax bills (Cozza et al 2021;) and that aggregate bond costs have very little impact on voter support (Bechard et al Forthcoming). Furthermore, several studies have documented status quo bias in referendum voting (Donovan and Bowler 1998;Bowler and Donovan 2000;Morisi 2018) and valence voting (e.g.…”

Section: Voter Response To Repeated Referendumsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Furthermore, several studies have documented status quo bias in referendum voting (Donovan and Bowler 1998; Bowler and Donovan 2000; Morisi 2018) and valence voting (e.g. a gut “yes”) (Dyck and Pearson-Merkowitz 2019; Cozza et al 2021). While previous literature has found that the information environment is critical to referendum passage (Lupia 1994; Bowler and Donovan 2000), most of these studies focus on state-level ballot questions in which there may be considerable press coverage.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The aftermath of ballot box success and failure: evidence from land preservation referendums

Gill,

Lang,

Pearson-Merkowitz

2023

J. Pub. Pol.

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State and local governments put hundreds of referendums on the ballot each year. Often, they pass but sometimes they fail. What happens after a successful or failed attempt at the ballot box? Do advocates go back to voters with another request? And if they do, do they tend to succeed? We employ a regression discontinuity empirical framework to causally estimate referendum dynamics in the arena of land conservation. Our results suggest municipalities where a referendum just barely fails hold about 0.5 more referendums and pass about 0.28 more referendums than municipalities that just barely pass, meaning initial defeat is often reversed. We also investigate whether strategic changes are made in election approaches for those that try again. We find no evidence of systematic patterns in strategic revisions for municipalities that fail their first referendum. However, when revisions are made, our evidence suggests that voters appear to respond positively.

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Section: Voter Response To Repeated Referendumsmentioning

confidence: 99%