BACKGROUND:
Physical frailty is a powerful tool for identifying nondisabled
individuals at high-risk of adverse outcomes. The extension to which
cognitive impairment in those without dementia adds value to physical
frailty in detecting high-risk individuals remains unclear.
OBJECTIVES:
To estimate the effects of combining physical frailty and cognitive
impairment without dementia (CIND) on the risk of basic activities of daily
living (ADL) dependence and death over eight years.
DESIGN:
Prospective cohort study.
SETTING:
The Health and Retirement Study (HRS).
PARTICIPANTS:
7,338 community-dwelling people aged ≥65 years without
dementia and ADL dependence at baseline (2006–2008). Follow-up
assessments occurred every 2 years until 2014.
MEASUREMENTS:
The five components of the Cardiovascular Health Study defined
physical frailty. A well-validated HRS method, including verbal recall,
series of subtractions, and backward count task, assessed cognition. Primary
outcomes were time to ADL dependence and death. Hazard models, considering
death as competing risk, associated physical frailty and CIND with outcomes
after adjusting for sociodemographics, comorbidities, depression and smoking
status.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of physical frailty was 15%; CIND, 19%; and both
deficits, 5%. In unadjusted and adjusted analyses, combining these factors
identified older adults at an escalating risk for ADL dependence
(no-deficit=14% [reference group]; only-CIND=26%, sub-hazard ratio
[sHR]=1.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.3–1.8; only-frail=33%,
sHR=1.7, 95%CI 1.4–2.0; both-deficits=46%, sHR=2.0,
95%CI=1.6–2.6) and death (no-deficit=21%; only-CIND=41%, HR=1.6,
95%CI=1.4–1.9; only-frail=56%, HR=2.2, 95%CI=1.7–2.7;
both-deficits=66%, HR=2.6, 95%CI=2.0–3.3) over eight-year follow-up.
Adding the cognitive measure to models that already included physical
frailty alone increased accuracy in identifying those at higher risk of ADL
dependence (Harrell’s C 0.74 vs 0.71;
P<0.001) and death (Harrell’s C 0.70 vs 0.67;
P<0.001).
CONCLUSION:
Physical frailty and CIND are independent predictors of incident
disability and death. Since together physical frailty and CIND identify
vulnerable older adults better, risk assessment among older adults should
include both physical and cognitive elements.