Introduction
Prediabetes is a reversible state of glycemic abnormalities that is frequently associated with obesity and the metabolic syndrome (MetS). There has been controversy over determining the most effective methods of determining prediabetes status in adolescents. We sought to investigate temporal trends in prediabetes prevalence among U.S. adolescents using two definitions and evaluate relationships with obesity and a MetS-severity score.
Methods
We evaluated data from 5418 non-Hispanic-white, non-Hispanic-black, and Hispanic adolescents aged 12–19 participating in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999–2014 with complete data regarding MetS and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c). Prediabetes status was defined by American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria: fasting glucose 100–125 mg/dL or HbA1c 5.7%–6.4%. MetS severity was assessed with a MetS-severity Z-score.
Results
Prevalence of prediabetes as defined by HbA1c abnormalities significantly increased from 1999–2014, while prevalence of prediabetes as defined by fasting glucose abnormalities showed no significant temporal trend. There were variations in these trends across different racial/ethnic groups. MetS Z-score was overall more strongly correlated with HbA1c, fasting insulin, and the homeostasis-model-of-insulin-resistance than was BMI Z-score. These correlations were true in each racial/ethnic group with the exception that in non-Hispanic-white adolescents, in whom the MetS Z-score was not significantly correlated to HbA1c measurements.
Conclusion
We found conflicting findings of temporal trends of U.S. adolescent prediabetes prevalence based on the ADA’s prediabetes criteria. The increasing prevalence of prediabetes by HbA1c assessment is concerning and raises the urgency for increased awareness and appropriate measures of prediabetes status among physicians and patients.