Risk analysis of ship detention defects based on association rules

Chen, Yuli; Lou, Naiyuan; Liu, Guangli; Luan, Yang; Han, Jing

doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2022.105123

Cited by 20 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 33 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…To ensure that the link tasks directly related to the total task are classified in the innermost layer, while the fundamental link tasks that affect the total task are classified in the outermost layer, the concept of rotational extraction [26] is used to calculate the possibility hierarchy position of each link task in the total task [27,28] ; that is, the innermost and outermost layers are determined first. Subsequently, the next inner and outer layers are followed by the next-sub-inner and -outer layers until all link tasks are assigned.…”

Section: Calculation Of the Possibility Hierarchy Position For The Li...mentioning

confidence: 99%

A comprehensive risk prediction method for defense mission planning based on probabilistic reasoning and hierarchical analysis

Du,

Chen

2024

Complex Engineering Systems

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Most existing risk prediction methods focus on constructing risk element sets and analyzing their uncertainties but do not deeply explore the correlation types and intensities of factors, resulting in large errors in the comprehensive risk prediction results. In this paper, a new integrated risk prediction method is proposed based on the correlation types of tasks in defense task planning and execution. The approach mainly includes the following steps: First, based on the difference of the sequence and mode of action of link tasks, three correlation types (hierarchical, synergistic, and independent) are defined among them, and various correlation measurement techniques are proposed to model these abstract correlation relations and provide data basis for constructing risk decision graphs. Secondly, the rotation extraction strategy is introduced to excavate the internal correlation law between link tasks and generate their hierarchical topology to ensure the rational distribution of their hierarchy positions in defense missions. Then, the intra-layer risk weight is determined based on the centrality of each node in the topology structure, and then the comprehensive risk prediction weighting graph is constructed. Finally, the path analysis is used to assess the rationality of the hierarchical topology structure of the link tasks, and the validity of the proposed method is verified using the test sample set. The results show that compared with other approaches, the predicted results of the proposed method more closely approximate the actual outcomes.

show abstract

Section: Calculation Of the Possibility Hierarchy Position For The Li...mentioning

confidence: 99%

A comprehensive risk prediction method for defense mission planning based on probabilistic reasoning and hierarchical analysis

Du,

Chen

2024

Complex Engineering Systems

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…However, to identify the root causes of detentions of different vessel types, investigations should include an analysis of the links between deficiencies and their impact on detentions. Chen et al (2022) used Association Rules and PSC inspection data from 2014 to 2020 to identify critical deficiencies leading to vessel detentions. They suggested improving its safety, reducing environmental pollution, and minimizing shipping line losses.…”

Section: Ship Detention Under Port State Control (Psc) Inspectionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identification of Data Analysis Methods and Focus Trends in Port State Control Inspections: A Comprehensive Literature Review

Junaidi,

Yudo,

Ab-Samat

2024

IJTech

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This literature review focuses on research related to Port State Control (PSC) inspections carried out on board ships, with a particular focus on areas of interest and data analysis methods adopted during research. The five steps involved in the literature review process include: (1) determining the research questions, (2) gathering works of literature for review, (3) conducting selection and screening based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, (4) analyzing the selected works of literature and ensuring the quality of the data, and (5) reporting the result of the literature review. Based on the comprehensive searches throughout various databases, the most highimpacted databases in sequence were Elsevier, Taylor & Francis Online, (Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute) MDPI, Springer, and others such as Emerald Insight, Science Direct, and Google Scholar. There were 2,023 articles published between 2018 and 2022 gathered during the initial search process, and the 41 final papers were ultimately selected for in-depth analysis after a selection process. The four main research focuses found from this literature review were (1) the selection of ships for PSC inspection, (2) the New Inspection Regime (NIR), (3) the identification of findings during PSC inspection, and (4) detention of ships under PSC inspection. From the literature review, 37% of the final selected articles focused on vessel selection, 33% noted the findings, 23% focused on vessel detention, and only 7% explored the New Inspection Regime (NIR). From the review, most articles used the Bayesian networks (BN) method for data analysis, followed by traditional analysis, Ideal Solution Similarity Order Priority Technique (TOPSIS), Hierarchical Analytical Process (AHP), Apriori Algorithm, and Gray Relational Analysis (GRA). This result could provide valuable information to professionals in the maritime industry, and this literature review signifies the importance of Port State Control (PSC) inspections in fostering the better development of the global maritime transportation system especially to ensure maritime safety.

show abstract

“…It has the longest and most stable CIC implementation experience and has experience working with Tokyo MoU to implement CIC for the same series of deficiency items [2]. In addition, the deficiency database of Paris MoU has been used by a number of scholars in PSC studies (Yu, Q. et al [30], Boljat, H. U. et al [36], Liu, K. Z. et al [19], Bruin, G. J. et al [9], Akyurek, E. and P. Bolat [44], Dinis, D. et al [12], Akyurek, E. and P. Bolat [45], Chen, Y. L. et al [27]). So, using Paris MoU's Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) as the source of data (Table 2), we compiled six categories, including time of occurrence, deficiency code, ship type, flag state, inspection agency, and inspection location, from 1 November 2018 to 31 October 2021 (36 months).…”

Section: Information Collationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Examining the frequency of detection of different deficiency types before and after COVID-19 demonstrates the close relationship between ISM and DoC (Document of Compliance) during an epidemic, and suggests a response plan for PSC during a pandemic.2.3. The Correlation between Ship Types and Deficiency Codes for PSC Ship DetentionYu-Li Chen et al[27] used the Paris MoU deficiency database from 2014 to 2020, with correlation analysis of 6 ship types (general cargo, bulk carrier, container, chemical, rollon/roll-off, and tanker) and 19 PSC inspection deficiency series. Wu-Hsun Chung et al…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Optimization of the Concentrated Inspection Campaign Model to Strengthen Port State Control

Lai

Liu

Huang

2023

JMSE

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The concentrated inspection campaign (CIC) is a derivative of the port state control (PSC) supplement, which is a fixed single series of deficiency inspections performed for three consecutive months at the end of each year. This study used grey relational analysis (GRA) and the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) to analyze the data of 71,376 deficiency records with 496 deficiency codes and 21 ship types in the Paris MoU for the last three years so as to improve the existing focus inspection pattern, which uses only the most accumulated number of deficiency series of the previous year’s PSC inspection. It also combines the three-sigma rule to find the inspection items most likely to be found as deficient by the port state control officer (PFSO) of the member country and creates a new rolling CIC scheme with deficiency inspection data for the last three years, which can filter out the significant deficiency codes with high numbers of deficiency inspections and use them as a modified CIC. It can not only solve the existing CIC’s lack of thoroughness, but also avoid the problems of missing important inspection codes, missing substandard ships, and failing to meet the inspection consensus. The new CIC inspection mechanism created in this paper can indeed identify potential substandard ships more effectively and fill the inspection gap of the existing port state control.

show abstract

Risk analysis of ship detention defects based on association rules

Cited by 20 publications

References 33 publications

A comprehensive risk prediction method for defense mission planning based on probabilistic reasoning and hierarchical analysis

A comprehensive risk prediction method for defense mission planning based on probabilistic reasoning and hierarchical analysis

Identification of Data Analysis Methods and Focus Trends in Port State Control Inspections: A Comprehensive Literature Review

Optimization of the Concentrated Inspection Campaign Model to Strengthen Port State Control

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About