Risk Assessment Method of Power Communication Network Based on Gray Cloud Theory and Matter-Element Extension Model Coupling

Abstract

The failure of the power communication network often leads to a cascading failure of the power system. Evaluating the potential risks in the power communication network is crucial to ensure the stable operation of the power system. This paper proposes a comprehensive risk assessment method for qualitative and quantitative measures. Firstly, an index system for risk assessment, considering both static structure and dynamic operation, is established. The optimal weight of each index is determined using the combination game weighting method. Additionally, a risk assessment model for the power communication network is established by coupling gray cloud theory and matter-element extension model. The fuzzy theory's triangular modulus operator is utilized to fuse three types of fault probabilities, quantify the risk value of the power communication network, and assign it a grade. Finally, experimental results demonstrate that this method improves discrimination degree by 1.2%, 92%, and 85% respectively compared to other traditional algorithms.