Risk assessment of the low-carbon transition of Austria’s steel and electricity sectors

Bachner, Gabriel; Wolkinger, Brigitte; Mayer, Jakob; Tuerk, Andreas; Steininger, Karl W.

doi:10.1016/j.eist.2018.12.005

Cited by 23 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…As transition of the energy-intensive industries progresses in the near future, focus can later be given on specific technological processes, by applying the TIS framework [48] and expand the system failures framework to include the transitional failures proposed by [96]. Finally, Systems of Innovation frameworks have been gaining attention both as climate policy support frameworks [216] and as part of integrative approaches [217,218]: policy implications provided in this study can be coupled with modelled future mitigation pathways [219] to highlight bottlenecks in the industrial sectors examined in this research, and to formulate recommendations on designing transformative policy pathways overcoming them [220,221], as has recently been the case with other qualitative frameworks in relevant industrial case studies [222,223] or otherwise [224,225]. is calcium carbonate, obtained by limestone or chalk [238], which are usually mined from a quarry near the cement plant [236].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 90%

The UK and German Low-Carbon Industry Transitions from a Sectoral Innovation and System Failures Perspective

et al. 2020

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Industrial processes are associated with high amounts of energy consumed and greenhouse gases emitted, stressing the urgent need for low-carbon sectoral transitions. This research reviews the energy-intensive iron and steel, cement and chemicals industries of Germany and the United Kingdom, two major emitting countries with significant activity, yet with different recent orientation. Our socio-technical analysis, based on the Sectoral Innovation Systems and the Systems Failure framework, aims to capture existing and potential drivers of or barriers to diffusion of sustainable industrial technologies and extract implications for policy. Results indicate that actor structures and inconsistent policies have limited low-carbon innovation. A critical factor for the successful decarbonisation of German industry lies in overcoming lobbying and resistance to technological innovation caused by strong networks. By contrast, a key to UK industrial decarbonisation is to drive innovation and investment in the context of an industry in decline and in light of Brexit-related uncertainty.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 90%

The UK and German Low-Carbon Industry Transitions from a Sectoral Innovation and System Failures Perspective

et al. 2020

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“…However, actors are usually skeptical about large-scale transitions out of fear of the cost and risk associated with the adoption of radical innovations [50]. These fears need to be considered during the development of policies, since actively engaging stakeholders in the process could provide valuable insights on their point of view towards a "greener" industry [51]. This background constitutes the motivation of our study, showcasing why the Austrian iron and steel sector was selected as a case study.…”

Section: Background Informationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In our study, we focus on risks that cut across a number of dimensions, such as energy infrastructure, the political and institutional status, environmental issues related to end-use acceptance, financial markets, and technological innovation (Table 1), adapting from the clustering of risks performed in Bachner et al [51] and Wolkinger et al [52] Most risks are intertwined with the need to achieve wide-scale diffusion of centralized and decentralized renewable energy sources, in order to support green hydrogen production to be used in industry. This is evident in the infrastructure cluster, where the challenges posed to the stability of the grid due to the increase of renewable generation [53] and storage limitations are analyzed.…”

Section: Alternatives and Evaluation Criteriamentioning

confidence: 99%

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APOLLO: A Fuzzy Multi-criteria Group Decision-Making Tool in Support of Climate Policy

Labella¹,

Koasidis²,

Νίκας³

et al. 2020

IJCIS

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Multi-criteria decision-making is a daily process in everyday life, in which different alternatives are evaluated over a set of conflicting criteria. Decision-making is becoming increasingly complex, and the apparition of uncertainty and vagueness is inevitable, especially when related to sustainability issues. To model such lack of information, decision makers often use linguistic information to express their opinions, closer to their way of thinking, giving place to linguistic decision-making. However, the participation of multiple experts usually involves disagreements within the group, leading to unreliable solutions. To assist in decision-making and reduce such complexities, A grouP decisiOn fuzzy TOoL in support of cLimate change pOlicy making (APOLLO), a fuzzy decision support system, is introduced to deal with such problems in climate change and policy. The tool implements a framework for group decision-making, using 2-tuple Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), coupled with a new consensus measuring model to increase robustness of selected solutions. The operation of the software tool is showcased in a real case carried out in Austria, where stakeholders were asked to assess the risks embedded in pathways for decarbonizing the country's iron and steel sector. Results indicate that a coherent strategy addressing funding and competition issues is necessary, with experts displaying a consensus level of 85% in that these risks are the most threatening for the transition.

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“…Besides stakeholder perceptions of the most relevant implementation and consequential risks, appraising and modelling impacts of the transition pathways and correlated risks can only be done in the light of uncertainties. Within the modelling process of transition pathways, several uncertainty layers were identified (Bachner et al, 2018b). There are several technological options for transition and corresponding costs statements that are uncertain and lead to different effects along transitions.…”

Section: Prioritisation Of Risks By Clustermentioning

confidence: 99%

Narratives of Low-Carbon Transitions

Hanger¹,

Lieu²,

Νίκας³

2019

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This book examines the uncertainties underlying various strategies for a lowcarbon future. Most prominently, such strategies relate to transitions in the energy sector, on both the supply and the demand side. At the same time they interact with other sectors, such as industrial production, transport, and building, and ultimately require new behaviour patterns at household and individual levels. Currently, much research is available on the effectiveness of these strategies but, in order to successfully implement comprehensive transition pathways, it is crucial not only to understand the benefits but also the risks. Filling this gap, this volume provides an interdisciplinary, conceptual framework to assess risks and uncertainties associated with low-carbon policies and applies this consistently across 11 country cases from around the world, illustrating alternative transition pathways in various contexts. The cases are presented as narratives, drawing on stakeholder-driven research efforts. They showcase diverse empirical evidence reflecting the complex challenges to and potential negative consequences of such pathways. Together, they enable the reader to draw valuable lessons on the risks and uncertainties associated with choosing the envisaged transition pathways, as well as ways to manage the implementation of these pathways and ultimately enable sustainable and lasting social and environmental effects. This book will be of great interest to students, scholars, and practitioners of environmental and energy policy, low-carbon transitions, renewable energy technologies, climate change action, and sustainability in general.

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Risk assessment of the low-carbon transition of Austria’s steel and electricity sectors

Cited by 23 publications

References 22 publications

The UK and German Low-Carbon Industry Transitions from a Sectoral Innovation and System Failures Perspective

The UK and German Low-Carbon Industry Transitions from a Sectoral Innovation and System Failures Perspective

APOLLO: A Fuzzy Multi-criteria Group Decision-Making Tool in Support of Climate Policy

Narratives of Low-Carbon Transitions

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