Risk in rural development: challenges for managers and policy makers

Anderson, Jock R.

doi:10.1016/s0308-521x(02)00064-1

Cited by 92 publications

(67 citation statements)

References 87 publications

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“…Better decisions about expected returns in an uncertain climate, and recognising the critical periods for making them, require better information (Anderson 2003;Ritchie et al 2004a;Meinke and Stone 2005). One means of minimising losses in drought years and taking advantage of favourable seasons is through the use of probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts (Clewett et al 1991;Ash et al 2007;White 2000).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The reluctance of resource-users to adopt seasonal climate forecasts to enhance resilience to climate variability on the rangelands

2010

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As the impacts of climate-change on resource-dependent industries manifest, there is a commensurate effort to identify and implement strategies to reduce them. Yet, even when useful knowledge and tools exist, there can be poor adoption of adaptation strategies. We examine the reasons behind sub-optimal adoption of seasonal climate forecasts by graziers for managing climate variability. We surveyed 100 graziers in north-east Queensland, Australia and examined the influence of adaptive capacity, resource-dependency and forecast-perception on uptake. Technical perceptions were not important. Strategic skills, environmental awareness and social capital were. Results suggest that social factors (but not technical factors) are significant. These insights are important for adaptation planning and for maximising the resilience of communities and industries dependent on climate-sensitive resources.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The reluctance of resource-users to adopt seasonal climate forecasts to enhance resilience to climate variability on the rangelands

2010

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“…The decision maker usually seeks an optimal compromise amongst several objectives or tries to achieve satisfactory levels of his goals (Romero and Rehman, 1989). While virtually every decision will have risky consequences, not every decision exposes a farmer to 'unbearable risks' such as starvation and loss of capital (Anderson, 2003). Farmers avoid making decisions that would expose them to unbearable risks.…”

Section: Theoretical Foundationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Alternative options of land consolidation in the mountains of Nepal: An analysis based on stakeholders’ opinions

Thapa

Niroula

2008

Land Use Policy

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“…Soil fertility, slope, groundwater availability, access to irrigation and good pastures all determine how prone one is to hazard (e.g., flooding can wash out fields on steep slopes or cause water logging on flat fields). Owning land in several places enable cultivators to take advantage of different microclimates in order to spread their risk (Ellis 2000, p. 111), a strategy usually limited to the wealthy (Anderson 2003). Spatial elements that regulate risk are generally difficult to remedy but understanding them can help inhabitants be more prepared and have appropriate coping strategies for the risks they face.…”

Section: Risk and Vulnerabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk in the Okavango Delta in the face of social and environmental change

Wilk

Kgathi

2007

GeoJournal

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Information from 117 questionnaires and focus groups in four villages in the Okavango Delta, Botswana was used to identify households exposed to different levels of risk in order to relate them to various livelihood activities and coping strategies. Current household strategies such as migration and diversification that are used to cope with recurring hazards such as drought, reduced flooding and animal disease are becoming more limited because of fencing policies and changed flooding regimes. In the light of future challenges such as climate change and increased upstream water abstractions, the heavy reliance on government assistance will probably increase especially among female-headed households and high-risk households. Without targeted initiatives based on spatial and social distributions of risk, then the dependency syndrome of Botswana is likely to continue and be exacerbated.

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Risk in rural development: challenges for managers and policy makers

Cited by 92 publications

References 87 publications

The reluctance of resource-users to adopt seasonal climate forecasts to enhance resilience to climate variability on the rangelands

The reluctance of resource-users to adopt seasonal climate forecasts to enhance resilience to climate variability on the rangelands

Alternative options of land consolidation in the mountains of Nepal: An analysis based on stakeholders’ opinions

Risk in the Okavango Delta in the face of social and environmental change

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