Objective: We assessed predictors of atrial fibrillation (AF) in cryptogenic stroke (CS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients who received an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM).
Methods:We studied patients with CS/TIA who were randomized to ICM within the CRYSTAL AF study. We assessed whether age, sex, race, body mass index, type and severity of index ischemic event, CHADS 2 score, PR interval, and presence of diabetes, hypertension, congestive heart failure, or patent foramen ovale and premature atrial contractions predicted AF development within the initial 12 and 36 months of follow-up using Cox proportional hazards models.Results: Among 221 patients randomized to ICM (age 61.6 6 11.4 years, 64% male), AF episodes were detected in 29 patients within 12 months and 42 patients at 36 months. Significant univariate predictors of AF at 12 months included age (hazard ratio [
Conclusion:Increasing age and a prolonged PR interval at enrollment were independently associated with an increased AF incidence in CS patients. However, they offered only moderate predictive ability in determining which CS patients had AF detected by the ICM. The CRYSTAL AF trial showed that the rate of atrial fibrillation (AF) detection among patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) was 30% within 3 years after insertion of an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM).
1Numerous genetic, clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic features have been proposed as risk markers for developing AF.2-12 Within the Framingham Heart Study, a risk score for development of AF within 10 years was created, which included age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, treatment for hypertension, PR interval, clinically significant cardiac murmur, and heart failure.13 Echocardiographic measures did not improve risk prediction substantially.AF episodes are frequently asymptomatic and intermittent. Most CS/TIA patients monitored by ICM for AF detection have already undergone short-term Holter monitoring or telemetry in addition to cardiac and vascular imaging before device insertion.