2018
DOI: 10.3390/su10041259
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Risk Profile Indicators and Spanish Banks’ Probability of Default from a Regulatory Approach

Abstract: This paper analyses the relationships between the traditional bank risk profile indicators and a new measure of banks' probability of default that considers the Basel regulatory framework. First, based on the SYstemic Model of Bank Originated Losses (SYMBOL), we calculated the individual probabilities of default (PD) of a representative sample of Spanish credit institutions during the period of 2008-2016. Then, panel data regressions were estimated to explore the influence of the risk indicators on the PD. Our… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(3 citation statements)
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References 43 publications
(61 reference statements)
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“…Previous authors used a system model and assessed the impact of risk on the probability of default (Basel standards), and showed that regulation and supervision are important factors for Spanish banks [41]. For the purpose of diversity, it is necessary to introduce new regulation of the financial system as a whole.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Previous authors used a system model and assessed the impact of risk on the probability of default (Basel standards), and showed that regulation and supervision are important factors for Spanish banks [41]. For the purpose of diversity, it is necessary to introduce new regulation of the financial system as a whole.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This method was introduced by De Lisa et al [27], and has been the basis for the subsequent development of models incorporating riskweighted assets. This ratio constitutes one of the six instruments of macro-prudential policy in Europe used to measure financial stability [28] and is one of the key indicators in the assessment of bankruptcy risk in Spain [29]. It is also used for financial stress models [30,31].…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Due to the new regulations presented in the Basel Accords, the concept of risk capital is also constantly evolving (Posacka and Szel ągowska 2006;Jonek-Kowalska and Zieli ński 2017;Charnes et al 1978;Samuelson and Nordhaus 2012;Begg et al 1995;Dudycz and Brycz 2006;Rutkowska 2013;Matwiejczuk 2005;Directive 2013;Regulation 2013). At the same time, it is a consequence of the development of the theory of risk management (Jumreornvong et al 2018;Angrick and Nemoto 2017;Arseneau 2017;Coeuré 2014;Dong and Wen 2017;International Monetary Fund 2017), paying particular attention to its assessment and reduction (Noco ń and Pyka 2018; Noco ń and Pyka 2019; Perold 1993a, 1993b;Matten 2000;Culp 2002aCulp , 2002bCulp , 2002cShimpi 2001;Doherty 2005;Ishikawa et al 2003;Wieczorek-Kosmala 2017;Wieczorek-Kosmala 2019;Jobst and Lin 2016;Pyka and Noco ń 2017;Gómez-Fernández-Aguado et al 2018;Erfani and Vasigh 2018).…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%