Acknowledgements: Thanks to Nicholas R. Eaton and Eiko I. Fried for comments on an earlier version of this manuscript. Thanks also to Fried and colleagues-who authored the study on the replicability of posttraumatic stress disorder symptom networks (Fried et al., 2018, Clin Psychol Sci)-for making their summary data, output, and code available, and for encouraging reanalysis of the data for further replicability research.
AbstractPairwise Markov random field networks-including Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) andIsing models-have become the "state-of-the-art" method for psychopathology network analyses. Recent research has focused on the reliability and replicability of these networks. In the present study, we compared the existing suite of methods for maximizing and quantifying the stability and consistency of PMRF networks (i.e., lasso regularisation, plus the bootnet and NetworkComparisonTest packages in R) with a set of metrics for directly comparing the detailed network characteristics interpreted in the literature (e.g., the presence, absence, sign, and strength of each individual edge). We compared GGMs of depression and anxiety symptoms in two waves of data from an observational study (n = 403) and reanalyzed four posttraumatic stress disorder GGMs from a recent study of network replicability. Taken on face value, the existing suite of methods indicated that overall the network edges were stable, interpretable, and consistent between networks, but the direct metrics of replication indicated that this was not the case (e.g., 39-49% of the edges in each network were unreplicated across the pairwise comparisons). We discuss reasons for these apparently contradictory results (e.g., relying on global summary statistics versus examining the detailed characteristics interpreted in the literature), and conclude that the limited reliability of the detailed characteristics of networks observed here is likely to be common in practice, but overlooked by current methods. Poor replicability underpins our concern surrounding the use of these methods, given that generalizable conclusions are fundamental to the utility of their results.Keywords: network analysis; network theory of mental disorders; psychopathology networks; conditional independence; replicability crisis
Quantifying the reliability and replicability of psychopathology network characteristicsThe central tenet of the network theory of mental disorders is that psychopathology is due to dynamic causal interactions among symptoms (Borsboom, 2017). This theory encourages the quantification of the symptom-level structure of psychopathology using network analysis-a method with rapidly growing popularity in psychopathology research.