Background Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) risk increases with age for older adults whereas the population size benefiting from pneumococcal vaccines and the robustness of the immunogenic response to vaccination decline. This poses a conundrum for identifying the optimal age for vaccination. We estimate how demographics, vaccine efficacy/effectiveness (VE), and waning VE impact on optimal age for single-dose pneumococcal vaccination. Methods Age- and vaccine-serotype-stratified IPD incidence from routine surveillance of adults ≥55 years old (y) in Brazil, England, Blantyre (Malawi), and South Africa, ≥4-years after infant-pneumococcal vaccine introduction and before 2020, was used to parameterise exponential growth models of increasing IPD risk with age. A piecewise-constant model estimated VE and waning VE from prior studies. All estimates were then combined in a cohort model to assess the vaccine preventable IPD burden of delivering 13-, 15-, 20-valent conjugate or 23-valent polysaccharide vaccines at various ages. Findings In Brazil, Malawi, South Africa and England 51%, 51%, 54% and 39% of adults older than 55y were younger than 65y old. A smaller share of IPD was reported among adults <65y old in England (4,657 annual cases; 20% <65y) compared to Brazil (186; 45%), Malawi (4; 63%), or South Africa (134, 48%). PCV13- and PPV23-serotypes were estimated to cause 39% and 85% of IPD cases on average across settings. Vaccination at 55y in Brazil, Malawi, and South Africa, and at 70y in England had the greatest potential for IPD prevention with 38%, 31%, 27%, 8% of IPD preventable if using PCV13, 44%, 32%, 30%, 13% with PCV15, 65%, 69%, 53%, 37% with PCV20, and 30%, 29%, 20%, 14% with PPV23, respectively. Vaccination efficiency or cost effective use was optimal in 60-65y in Brazil, Malawi and South Africa, and in 80-85y in England. Interpretation In low/middle-income countries, pneumococcal vaccines may prevent a substantial proportion of the residual IPD burden if administered earlier in adulthood than is typical in high-income countries.