Safety of maritime ferry operating at Baltic sea open waters related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards

Modelling Consequences of Maritime Critical Infrastructure Accidents

“…for m = 1,2,…,mk, k = 1,2,…,5 is called the degradation state in the sub-area Dk, k = 1,2,…,5. Further, we number the sub-area degradation states defined by (11)- (12), and mark them by…”

“…Further, under the assumption of the stress of weather influence on the ship operation condition, critical infrastructure accident losses are examined and the results are compared with the previous ones. Thus, we consider critical infrastructure accident losses with the climate-weather change process C(t) impact [5], [12]. This process characteristic is the vector [qb]1xw of limit values of transient probabilities qb(t)= P(C(t) = cb), t ∈ <0,+∞), b = 1,2,…,w of the process C(t) at the particular climate-weather states cb.…”

“…There are w = 6 climate-weather states cb, b = 1,2,…,w, dependent on the wave height and the wind speed, distinguished for the ship operating area at the Baltic Sea open waters [14]. The environmental losses, impacted by the process C(t) [12], in the considered sub-area Dk, are defined by [5] )…”