Sailing close to the wind? The effects of third birth policies in post-communist Hungary.

Spéder, Zsolt; Murinkó, Lívia; Oláh, Lívia Sz.

doi:10.21543/wp.2017.27

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…30 The results are far from representative; see the remarks made in the text above. 31 On the success of Hungarian family policy measures, see Kapitány-Spéder (2017), Spéder et al (2017), Makay (2019), Szikra (2018b). 32 My text does not attempt to introduce and analyse specific current family political measures.…”

Section: The Role Of Experts In the Discourse On Population Politics ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Natalism as a Nationalist Biopolitical Response from Socialism Till Today in Hungary

Takács

2023

Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Social Analysis

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After the Second World War, the population policies of the socialist countries were not free from the dilemma of natalist/anti-natalist policies. This essay focuses on the Hungarian population policy discourses of the Kádár era and the present day, with some references to Central European specificities. The fear of the disappearance of Hungarians has been present in Hungarian intellectual discourse for several centuries, and by the twentieth century, it had become a fundamental idea that reached society as a whole. Given the growing interest (not independently of contemporary trends) in the international sociological literature not only in the transformation of biopolitics in recent decades but also in the historical antecedents of earlier periods, I believe that it may be interesting to examine the fear of national death in both a Hungarian and a Central European context.

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Section: The Role Of Experts In the Discourse On Population Politics ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Natalism as a Nationalist Biopolitical Response from Socialism Till Today in Hungary

Takács

2023

Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Social Analysis

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“…On the other hand, some case-studies on post-communist countries' interventions which had been introduced to fi ght the decline in fertility after the fall of the communist system showed a signifi cant and differentiated effect on fertility. For example, an increase in the length of child-raising allowance ("fulltime motherhood") in Hungary had a positive effect on fertility among women with low educational attainment, while a generous tax-relief reform increased higherorder birth risks of educated mothers (Spéder et al 2017).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Pronatalist Policies and Fertility in Russia: Estimating Tempo and Quantum Effects

Validova

2021

CPoS

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This paper examines the family policy reforms of 2007 in Russia that were aimed explicitly at encouraging second and higher-order births, and analyses their impact on fertility. The existing empirical findings about population policy interventions in transition economies are inconclusive, while the most common argument states that policies based on material incentives are insufficient to significantly raise the real fertility in a population. The study aims to offer a better insight to the following research question: was Russian demographic policy effective in terms of raising the fertility level in the country or did it merely change the timing of births? The objective of the paper is to measure two effects of the pronatalist policy in Russia: tempo effect and quantum effect. Using data from the Human Fertility Database, I employ the decomposition method to separate tempo and quantum effects in the observed total fertility rate, and I estimate their relative weight in observed fertility changes. The analysis of period fertility indicators confirmed the prevalence of a tempo effect in observed total fertility rate change, but also revealed a quantum effect of the policy measures, although this was much smaller. Policy impact varied by birth order. For second parity, the tempo effect played a more critical role, while for third parity the quantum effect was more important. Another decomposition approach employed to measure the contributions of various factors in the increase of the number of births during the post-reform period showed the quantum effect which was driven by second and third order births. The study provides empirical evidence of the impact of policies on fertility behaviour, expands the existing analysis of pronatalist measures taken in Russia, and contributes to our understanding of the role of tempo and quantum effects in the recent fertility change in Russia.

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“…A folyamat ennél jóval heterogénebb, s ezt az összetett munkavállalási hatást jóléti programok, szociális támogatások és ellátások, a munkavállalási szabályok átalakítása egyaránt igyekszik csökkenteni, különböző sikerességgel (Gábos 2008). A harmadik gyermek vállalásának esetében például bebizonyosodott az állami beavatkozás pozitív hatása, ám amíg az alacsonyabb végzettségűek esetében a gyermekgondozási időszak kitolása, addig a magas végzettségűek esetében az adókedvezmény volt a releváns termékenységi motiváló faktor (Spéder-Murinkó-Oláh 2017. A családtámogatási rendszer közvetlen pénzbeni ellátásai esetében pozitív termékenységi hatás mutatkozik (Gábos 2008).…”

Section: A Gyermekvállalási Trendekunclassified

Képzési háttér és gyermekvállalási tervek

Veroszta

Györgyi²

2021

Educatio

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Összefoglaló. A tanulmány a népesedési folyamatok és az oktatási rendszer kölcsönhatásának értelmezési keretében mozog. Ezen belül a szülői végzettség egy lehetséges demográfiai következményével, a második gyermek vállalásának tervezésére gyakorolt hatásával foglalkozik. Az elemzés a KSH NKI Kohorsz ’18 Magyar Születési Kohorszvizsgálat várandósok körében gyűjtött adatain alapul. Az eredmények alapján az anyák második gyermek vállalására vonatkozó terveiben mindkét szülő végzettségének önálló hatása mutatható ki. A szülői iskolázottság szintje és a második gyermek tervezése között pozitív a kapcsolat. Legerősebb a felsőfokú végzettség hatása, mely mindkét szülő esetében növeli a második gyermek tervezésének esélyét. A szakképzettség alacsony szinten csökkenti, ugyanakkor a magasabb, középfok feletti szinteken növeli a gyermekvállalási kedvet. Az anyai tervekre az apa legmagasabb iskolai végzettsége is kimutatható hatással bír. Az eredmények oktatáspolitikai szempontú értelmezésében kiemelhető a magasabb végzettségi szintek gyermekvállalásra gyakorolt pozitív hatása, valamint a szakmunkásképzés felé irányítás potenciálisan kedvezőtlen demográfiai következményeinek azonosítása. Summary. The interpretive framework of the study is the interaction between demographic trends and the education system. Within this, it addresses a possible demographic consequence of parental education, i.e., its impact on the planning of having a second child. The analysis is based on the data of Cohort ’18 Growing Up In Hungary, collected among pregnant women by the Hungarian Demographic Research Institute in 2018 as a part of a Hungarian Birth Cohort Study. According to the results, the plans of the expecting mothers to have a second child significantly affected by the educational attainment. As regards directions, there is a linear positive relationship between the level of education and the odds of planning a second child. Higher educational background of both parents shows the strongest effect on the plans. Elementary vocational training works against planning chances, but upper vocational background increases the desire to have a second child. Educational attainment of the partner also has a significant effect on maternal childbearing plans. From the point of view of educational policy, the positive effect of higher education degree on having children can be highlighted. Potentially unfavorable demographic consequences of the direction towards vocational training can be also highlighted by the results.

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Sailing close to the wind? The effects of third birth policies in post-communist Hungary.

Cited by 4 publications

References 23 publications

Natalism as a Nationalist Biopolitical Response from Socialism Till Today in Hungary

Natalism as a Nationalist Biopolitical Response from Socialism Till Today in Hungary

Pronatalist Policies and Fertility in Russia: Estimating Tempo and Quantum Effects

Képzési háttér és gyermekvállalási tervek

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