Scared Straight or Scared to Death? The Effect of Risk Beliefs on Risky Behaviors

Kerwin, Jason

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2797493

Cited by 11 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…This initial finding is consistent with a fatalistic response to bad news (as described in(Kerwin, 2018)) or conversely a positive response to good news(Gable and Reis, 2010) and evidence from(Akesson et al, 2020) …”

supporting

confidence: 70%

Socially optimal mistakes? debiasing COVID-19 mortality risk perceptions and prosocial behavior

Abel

Byker

Carpenter

2021

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization

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Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The IZA Institute of Labor Economics is an independent economic research institute that conducts research in labor economics and offers evidence-based policy advice on labor market issues. Supported by the Deutsche Post Foundation, IZA runs the world's largest network of economists, whose research aims to provide answers to the global labor market challenges of our time. Our key objective is to build bridges between academic research, policymakers and society. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author.

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supporting

confidence: 70%

Socially optimal mistakes? debiasing COVID-19 mortality risk perceptions and prosocial behavior

Abel

Byker

Carpenter

2021

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization

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“…The measured HIV prevalence in our sample is 4 percent, which is lower than the full MLSFH sample since we restrict the analysis to the balanced panel. Mortality perceptions and other perceptions on risk are greatly overstated by the respondents, a phenomenon that has been documented in a broader literature (Godlonton, Munthali, and Thornton 2016;Kerwin 2016). Although the life-table mortality risk estimate over five years for people aged 35-40 is 10 percent, respondents perceive a 39 percent risk of death.…”

mentioning

confidence: 97%

The Impact of AIDS Treatment on Savings and Human Capital Investment in Malawi

Baranov

Kohler

2018

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics

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In the past decade, antiretroviral therapy (ART), a highly effective drug treatment that slows the progression of AIDS, has become widely available in sub-Saharan Africa. The medication is rapidly reversing the steep decline in life expectancy, which had fallen by 14 years in southern Africa, due to the AIDS epidemic (United Nations Population Division 2012). Economic models of life-cycle consumption suggest that life expectancy plays a role in decisions about savings, investment, * Baranov: University of Melbourne, 111 Barry Street, Carlton VIC 3053, Australia (email: victoria.baranov@ unimelb.edu.au); Kohler: University of Pennsylvania, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104 (email: hpkohler@pop.upenn.edu). We would like to thank anonymous referees for comments and suggestions that substantially improved the paper. This paper is a revised version of the first chapter of Baranov's dissertation at the University of Chicago. We also thank

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“…While individual firefighters may not be able to make structural changes to the work environment, individual behavior change in gear cleaning may help reduce cancer risks. Recent research has shown that overestimation of risk to the point of fatalism can actually prevent behavior to reduce those risks, while accurate perceptions of risk combined with steps to reduce risk lead positive behavior change (Kerwin, ). Thus, while the goal of the FACE team is to create cultural change, change often entails action beyond collective behavior; addressing structural and financial, as well as other unintended or unanticipated, barriers is essential as they may be inadvertently decreasing resilience in some members of the organization.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, communication design should account for the different work practices between busy and not busy fire stations, and the different types of firefighters who choose to work in those environments. Additionally, communication design should interrogate existing and new practices for unintended consequences, such as the fatalistic sense of risk for developing cancer that many firefighters have as a direct result of efforts to increase awareness of cancer risk—and which may act to prevent positive behaviour change and decrease resilience (e.g., Kerwin, ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience, culture change, and cancer risk reduction in a fire rescue organization: Clean gear as the new badge of honor

Harrison

Yang

Anderson

et al. 2017

Contingencies & Crisis Mgmt

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Fire rescue organizations are central to community models of resilience, especially in the context of crisis. The ability of fire rescue organizations to fulfill their role relies on their ability to operate at full capacity; however, fire rescue services may face internal crises that require these organizations to be resilient in their own right. This study uses grounded theory drawing on concepts of organizational culture and resilience to show how one key partner in the community model of resilience (Palm Beach County Fire Rescue) is working to address their own crisis—an epidemic of cancer. Firefighters are engaging in behaviours to increase resilience by working towards cultural change to reduce cancer risk, using social capital to increase networks and expertise, and utilizing internal assets to enact change. Barriers to change include cultural practices, perceived threats to occupational practice, and logistics and resources to enact desired change. A model of risk reduction and resilience is advanced that explores how organizational culture and practice both support and undermine individual resilience and organizational resilience. Implications for communication and change efforts are explored.

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Scared Straight or Scared to Death? The Effect of Risk Beliefs on Risky Behaviors

Cited by 11 publications

References 46 publications

Socially optimal mistakes? debiasing COVID-19 mortality risk perceptions and prosocial behavior

Socially optimal mistakes? debiasing COVID-19 mortality risk perceptions and prosocial behavior

The Impact of AIDS Treatment on Savings and Human Capital Investment in Malawi

Resilience, culture change, and cancer risk reduction in a fire rescue organization: Clean gear as the new badge of honor

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