Scenario analysis of flood control structures using a multi-criteria decision-making technique in Northeast Iran

Mostafazadeh, Raoof; Sadoddin, Amir; Bahremand, Abdolreza; Sheikh, Vahedberdi; Garizi, Arash Zare

doi:10.1007/s11069-017-2851-1

Cited by 19 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…It complements approaches dealing with a singular risk. In the literature, several approaches have been proposed (Furlan et al, 2020), (Mostafazadeh et al, 2017), (Chatterjee et al, 2018). Our contribution in relation to these proposals is the qualification of risk scenarios by success indicators which allow decision making.…”

Section: Categories Of Project Criteriamentioning

confidence: 99%

A Go/No-Go Decision-Making Model Based on Risk and Multi-Criteria Techniques for Project Selection

Kamissoko

Gourc

Marmier

et al. 2022

International Journal of Decision Support System Technology

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The realization of infrastructures and the deployment of processes can follow project formalism. Generally, a project goes through a design and a realization phase. Between these two phases, there is a crucial milestone: Launching the project. Making this decision is not easy at all, and constitutes a real problem-- the main reasons to this are the numerous numbers of criteria (for technical, economic, social, environmental dimensions) and risks in the sense of feared events. Criteria and risks are most of the time not considered due to lack of time (for formalization) and the difficulty to handle them. The objective of this paper is to propose a relevant approach to make the decision of launching the project or not. The proposal outlined is innovative in that it can consider indicators based on several appropriate criteria, the associated risks, and their ways of management. The fact of considering several criteria and risks increases the probability of making the good decision.

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Section: Categories Of Project Criteriamentioning

confidence: 99%

A Go/No-Go Decision-Making Model Based on Risk and Multi-Criteria Techniques for Project Selection

Kamissoko

Gourc

Marmier

et al. 2022

International Journal of Decision Support System Technology

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“…Distributed reservoirs have been shown to reduce the flow peak magnitudes based on distributed models (Chennu et al 2007;Del Giudice et al 2014), semi-distributed models (Ramireddygari et al 2000;Leblois et al 2010) and analytic analyses (Del Giudice et al 2014). Various studies have also used cost-benefit analysis for flood mitigation scenarios (Heidari 2009) or multi-criteria decision-making techniques (e.g., Ahmad and Simonovic 2006;Mostafazadeh et al 2017). The reductions in the flow peak in these related studies vary extensively within the range from 0.3 to 36% (Emerson et al 2005;Mostafazadeh et al 2017;Ravazzani et al 2014;Thomas 2015); however, in some cases of dry dams, the reduction in the flow peak was less than 50% (Chennu et al 2007).…”

Section: Structural Measuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Various studies have also used cost-benefit analysis for flood mitigation scenarios (Heidari 2009) or multi-criteria decision-making techniques (e.g., Ahmad and Simonovic 2006;Mostafazadeh et al 2017). The reductions in the flow peak in these related studies vary extensively within the range from 0.3 to 36% (Emerson et al 2005;Mostafazadeh et al 2017;Ravazzani et al 2014;Thomas 2015); however, in some cases of dry dams, the reduction in the flow peak was less than 50% (Chennu et al 2007). Onusluel Gul et al (2010) studied the use of concentrated dams to evaluate the impact of flood mitigations on a downstream area using a combination of hydraulic and hydrologic modelling.…”

Section: Structural Measuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated Strategies for the Management of Wadi Flash Floods in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Arid Zones: The ISFF Project

Kantoush

Saber

Abdel-Fattah

et al. 2021

Natural Disaster Science and Mitigation Engineering: DPRI Reports

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Sustainable management of wadi flash flood (WFF) risks is desperately needed to secure development in wadi systems. Due to rapid flow generation with sudden high flood peaks, spatiotemporal variability of rainfall occurrence, and poorly sited rapid development, most Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region have no comprehensive proper protection from WFFs. In arid regions, single mitigation measures, including storage dams, recharge dams, artificial lakes and embankments, are implemented, although soft mitigation measures are not dominant, such as early warning systems. The single management strategy under climate change impacts is not adequate to reduce flash flood risks; an integrated strategy is required. The objective of the international symposium on flash floods (ISFF) project has been to develop scientific understanding of WFFs in wadi systems; monitor, model, and mitigate; issue warnings; and plan urban development by discussing and networking the strategies in the MENA region. To achieve this goal, the project defines priorities for future research challenges and potential projects for WFFs. This chapter provides a state-of-the-art scientific basis in terms of integrated flash flood management. Further, priorities are defined for the main research gaps, and the emerging research methodologies can contribute to guide the management of WFFs in such regions.

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“…Determining the frequency of oods and surveying ood-prone areas is a common hydrologists and water resources management (Papaioannou et al 2015;Rahmati and Pourghasemi 2017). Mapping ood-prone areas is also essential for organizing and coordinating emergency response measures in natural disasters based on different management scenarios (Mostafazadeh et al 2017). It is also important to carefully study the frequency and spatial distribution of ood events in urban and rural areas (Tango et al 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Iso-severity flood hazard patterns in diverse relief and climatic regions to support flood management

Mostafazadeh

Khiavi

2023

Preprint

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Floods are one of the most devastating natural events that threaten social and economic conditions more than any other natural disaster. Therefore, the aim of this study was to map the Iso-severity flood patterns and determining the seasonality of flood events over different return periods in in Ardabil province, Iran with diverse relief and climatic regions. Thus, the data of 32 River Gauge Stations (RGS) were used in the spatiotemporal analysis in a 40-year recorded period. EasyFit software was used to determine the most appropriate statistical distribution for the discharge data at 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50- and 100-year return periods. Then, the frequency of monthly and seasonal flood events was quantified in each RGS. Then, the significant trend of flood frequency in each RGS was tested, and the seasonality of flood events was explored. According to the results, it can be said that in the studied RGS, about 63.63% of the floods are occurred in April. On the other hand, the seasonality of flood events showed that the maximum number and percentage of flood events are assigned to spring season over different return periods. As in some stations such as Yamchi, Nouran, Naneh-Karan, Mashiran, Amouqin, Doroud and Pole- Almas, almost 100% of the floods are related to spring and this shows that the floods in Ardabil province are spring floods. Iso-severity flood mapping in different return periods showed that the frequency of floods was higher than the central and northern regions in the southern and highlands of the study area. It is necessary for the southern and Iso-severity flood areas of the province, while conducting the necessary studies, proper planning should be considered with the focus on Integrated Watershed Management (IWM) in order to reduce the flood occurrence in the future and minimize its human and economic losses.

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Scenario analysis of flood control structures using a multi-criteria decision-making technique in Northeast Iran

Cited by 19 publications

References 36 publications

A Go/No-Go Decision-Making Model Based on Risk and Multi-Criteria Techniques for Project Selection

A Go/No-Go Decision-Making Model Based on Risk and Multi-Criteria Techniques for Project Selection

Integrated Strategies for the Management of Wadi Flash Floods in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Arid Zones: The ISFF Project

Iso-severity flood hazard patterns in diverse relief and climatic regions to support flood management

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