“…SPI and SPEI calculations were performed using the SCI package in R (https://cran.r-project.org/package=SCI, last access: 9 January 2023; Gudmundsson and Stagge, 2016). The remaining calculations and visualisations were performed using Python: NumPy (https://github.com/numpy/numpy, last access: 5 January 2023; NumPy project, 2021; Harris et al, 2020) and pandas (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5203279, Reback et al, 2021) for data handling; scikit-learn (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4725836, Grisel et al, 2021;Pedregosa et al, 2011) for the construction, training and evaluation of the data-driven models; SciPy (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4635380, Virtanen et al, 2021Virtanen et al, , 2020 for computation of the correlations between predictors; xskillscore (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5173153, Bell et al, 2021) for calculating the correlation effective p value between the data-driven models and FWI metrics; and Matplotlib (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5194481, Caswell et al, 2021;Hunter, 2007), cartopy (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1490296, Elson et al, 2018;Met Office, 2010-2015 and seaborn (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5205191, Waskom et al, 2021;Waskom, 2021) for the visualisations of the results.…”