Seaport climate change impact assessment using a multi-level methodology

Izaguirre, Cristina; Losada, Íñigo J.; Camus, Paula; Gonzalez-Lamuno, Patricia; Stenek, Vladimir

doi:10.1080/03088839.2020.1725673

Cited by 13 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…Losada et al, 2019 [97] also studied the adaptation strategy of Spain to climate change. In 2020, Izaguirre et al [98] developed a methodology to assess climate change impacts in seaports. Sauer et al, 2021 [99] studied the actors that participate in the management of the port of Barcelona and its adaptation.…”

Section: Spanish Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Ports and Harbours and Their Adaptation in Spain

2022

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Climate change is one of the issues of greatest concern to today’s society. The increase in temperatures has affected sea levels, polar masses and extreme events, among others. There are many scientific studies that analyze the impacts of climate change on coastal communities, but most of them focus on beach erosion and coastal recession. Scientific literature on the effects of climate change on ports and harbors and their adaptation is much less abundant. Ports are essential for the economy and society of their cities, so studying the impact of climate change on them is an urgent need. The Mediterranean and the Spanish Mediterranean coast is one of the areas that will be most affected by climate change in the future. In addition, the Spanish economy depends a lot on its tourism and, thus, on its coastal cities. Therefore, the study of the impact of climate change on Spanish ports and coastal communities is essential. This article presents a review of the studies carried out until now on the effects of climate change on Spanish ports, and it identifies research gaps and weaknesses and suggests new research lines.

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Section: Spanish Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Ports and Harbours and Their Adaptation in Spain

2022

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“…For instance, the subsystems include (1) navigation and berthing, (2) materials and handling, (3) vehicles and movement, (4) goods storage and (5) transport and supply chain. Then the risk and impact analysis were conducted for each subsystem [3,17,19]. Gou and Lam [13] integrated breaking-down the operation process and State Transition model to analyze risk of marine cargoes and ports to natural hazards.…”

Section: 1mentioning

confidence: 99%

A hierarchic framework for the propagating impacts of the China-U.S. trade war on volume of Chinese containerized exports

Yu¹,

Hao²,

Jiang³

et al. 2022

JIMO

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The China-U.S. trade war between the world's two largest economies has received increasing attention. Due to the existing interdependencies within economic sectors, the trade war could bring about ripple effects and cause more damaging impacts than intuitive thoughts. By integrating Inoperability Input-output Model (IIM) and Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR), we developed a hierarchic IIM-PLSR framework in this study to unravel the ripple effects of the China-U.S. trade war on volume of Chinese containerized exports. The results show that the China-U.S. trade war will affect the operability and output value of not only the tariff-targeted industries but the other interdependent industries. Contrary to expectations, the results show that the China-U.S. Trade War have an insignificant influence on the volume of containerized exports. Even in the worst scenario, the reduction percentage of containerized exports due to China-U.S. trade war is only 0.335%. This study brings fresh insights to stakeholders in the port industry for the implementation of rational port planning policies.

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“…Focusing on the Mediterranean Sea, a review of potential physical impacts on harbors under climate change was presented analyzing port operations and infrastructure performance considering relative sea level, wave storm features (height, period, direction, and duration) and combined effects as key climatic factors [47]. Seaport climate change impact assessment was also recently presented [48] with use of a multi-level methodology following a sequential path that starts with a quantitative analysis focused on multi-hazard and multi-impact evaluation with climate information based on indicators. More localized in-depth analyses of important case studies refer to addressing long-term operational risk management in port docks under climate change, modelling the impact of climate change on Spanish harbors' operability, and reliability-based investigations of breakwater structures including the economic impact on port activities [49][50][51].…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nonstationary Extreme Value Analysis of Nearshore Sea-State Parameters under the Effects of Climate Change: Application to the Greek Coastal Zone and Port Structures

Γαλιατσάτου

Makris²,

Krestenitis³

et al. 2021

JMSE

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In the present work, a methodological framework, based on nonstationary extreme value analysis of nearshore sea-state parameters, is proposed for the identification of climate change impacts on coastal zone and port defense structures. The applications refer to the estimation of coastal hazards on characteristic Mediterranean microtidal littoral zones and the calculation of failure probabilities of typical rubble mound breakwaters in Greek ports. The proposed methodology hinges on the extraction of extreme wave characteristics and sea levels due to storm events affecting the coast, a nonstationary extreme value analysis of sea-state parameters and coastal responses using moving time windows, a fitting of parametric trends to nonstationary parameter estimates of the extreme value models, and an assessment of nonstationary failure probabilities on engineered port protection. The analysis includes estimation of extreme total water level (TWL) on several Greek coasts to approximate the projected coastal flooding hazard under climate change conditions in the 21st century. The TWL calculation considers the wave characteristics, sea level height due to storm surges, mean sea level (MSL) rise, and astronomical tidal ranges of the study areas. Moreover, the failure probabilities of a typical coastal defense structure are assessed for several failure mechanisms, considering variations in MSL, extreme wave climates, and storm surges in the vicinity of ports, within the framework of reliability analysis based on the nonstationary generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The methodology supports the investigation of future safety levels and possible periods of increased vulnerability of the studied structure to different ultimate limit states under extreme marine weather conditions associated with climate change, aiming at the development of appropriate upgrading solutions. The analysis suggests that the assumption of stationarity might underestimate the total failure probability of coastal structures under future extreme marine conditions.

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Seaport climate change impact assessment using a multi-level methodology

Abstract: The definitive version of the text was subsequently published in Maritime Policy and Management, 47(4), 2020-02

Cited by 13 publications

References 33 publications

Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Ports and Harbours and Their Adaptation in Spain

Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Ports and Harbours and Their Adaptation in Spain

A hierarchic framework for the propagating impacts of the China-U.S. trade war on volume of Chinese containerized exports

Nonstationary Extreme Value Analysis of Nearshore Sea-State Parameters under the Effects of Climate Change: Application to the Greek Coastal Zone and Port Structures

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