Seasonal Effect of Sunlight on COVID-19 among Countries with and without Lock-Downs

Sagripanti, José-Luis

doi:10.4236/ojepi.2021.113027

Cited by 6 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 47 publications

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“…However, many of these articles referred to social distancing in the context of country lock-downs, curfews or at-home restrictions which we analyzed in our previous research. 1,48 Overall, studies of the effectiveness of social (perhaps more precisely named physical) distancing followed the general pattern of those discussed above for wearing of face masks -most studies recommended social distancing but few studies presented underlying primary data. Many articles listed in the PubMed search assumed a benefit of keeping individuals apart based on computer predictions by virtual simulation.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Meanwhile reports indicated as early as July-August 2020 that infection rates and mortality rates of COVID-19 among countries with and without social distancing restrictions did not show a significant correlation and that social restrictions were not associated with statistically significant reductions in the number of critical cases or overall mortality. 48,50,54,55 Moreover, a study by Kuhbandner et.al. ruled out lock-downs and social distancing as responsible of any decrease in the effective epidemic reproductive rate in the UK, suggesting these authors that predictions by computer simulation accepted early in the pandemic should be considered artifacts.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Reduced Social Distancing and Face Mask Wearing at Massive Soccer-Related Gatherings Did Not Affect Daily COVID-19 Infections in Argentina

Sagripanti

Aquilano²

2023

MRAJ

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AIMS. To determine the contribution of social distancing and face mask wearing in the prevention of COVID-19 infections in Argentina. METHODS. Attendance to the funeral of ex-soccer star Diego Maradona was estimated by the area occupied by the mourners and their density. The people congregated to celebrate the America's Cup victory was deduced mainly from TV ratings. The proportion of individuals wearing or not face masks was calculated from photographs taken at both events. The COVID-19 epidemiological data used was released by the Argentinean Ministry of Health from March 3rd 2020 to August 31st 2021. RESULTS. We estimated that Maradona's funeral was attended by approximately 250,000 mourners. On the other hand, approximately 5.084.000 followed by television the America’s cup final in Buenos Aires alone. Extrapolating to the whole country suggests that over 4 million individuals congregated in person to celebrate the victory. The percentage of individuals not wearing face masks at the funeral was 54.0% ± 5.2 % and at the soccer victory celebrations 84.5 % ± 6.9 %, both estimates with a confidence of 99%. Daily COVID-19 infections in Buenos Aires remained at less than 5,000 per day during 30 days before- as well as during 24 days following-the funeral. New infections in Argentina remained less than 21,000 during 10 days before as well as 30 days following the soccer cup celebrations. CONCLUSIONS. Considering that SARS-CoV-2 median incubation is 5.1 days, the time periods following Maradona’s funeral and the America Soccer Cup celebrations provided ample time for COVID-19 to flare up if significant contagion would have proliferated amongst the crowds. The lack of an increase in COVID-19 infections after two independent and large gatherings with people in close proximity and limited wearing of face masks, contradicts any beneficial effect of social distancing and of mask wearing during the pandemic. These findings seem particularly important when considering that social distancing and mask wearing limited attendance to public events, negatively impacted commerce, burdening restaurants and many other businesses; and overall taxed society unnecessarily, according to the data presented here. (A summary of some of these findings were presented at the European Society of Medicine Annual Meeting. August 04, 2022. Entitled: Unexpected effect of sunlight, the environment, and public health measures in the progression of COVID-19) https://esmed.org/video-detail/?id=86 )

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reduced Social Distancing and Face Mask Wearing at Massive Soccer-Related Gatherings Did Not Affect Daily COVID-19 Infections in Argentina

Sagripanti

Aquilano²

2023

MRAJ

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“…Lockdowns, social isolation, fear, uncertainty and stress hamper immunological competency. Perhaps it would be more fruitful to spend energy on campaigns improving immune competency than on combating a virus, for instance by improving vitamin D levels in the population58 59 or by encouraging exercise and activity in the open air.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Why do people consent to receiving SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations? A representative survey in Germany

Walach

Ofner

Ruof³

et al. 2022

BMJ Open

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ObjectiveTo answer the question: Why do people consent to being vaccinated with novel vaccines against SARS-CoV-2?DesignRepresentative survey.SettingOnline panel.Participants1032 respondents of the general German population.MethodA representative survey among German citizens in November/December 2021 that resulted in 1032 complete responses on vaccination status, sociodemographic parameters and opinions about the COVID-19 situation.ResultsAlmost 83% of the respondents were vaccinated. The major motivation was fear of medical consequences of an infection and the wish to lead a normal life again. The major motivation to be not vaccinated was the fear of side effects and scepticism about long-term effectiveness and safety. Sixteen per cent of vaccinated respondents reported some serious side effect, while more than 30% reported health improvements, mostly due to the relief of psychological stress and social reintegration. We also validated a ‘Corona Orthodoxy Score—COS’ consisting of seven items reflecting opinions on COVID-19. The scale is reliable (alpha=0.76) and unidimensional. The COS was a highly significant predictor of vaccination status and readiness to be vaccinated in a multivariable logistic regression model. Those who were vaccinated were more likely to live in smaller households (OR=0.82, p=0.024), had a higher income (OR=1.27, p<0.001), a higher COS score (OR 1.4, p<0.0001) and used less alternative media (OR=0.44, p=0.0024) and scientific publications (OR=0.42, p=0.011) as information sources.ConclusionsThe major motives for being vaccinated are fear of medical symptoms and the wish to lead a normal life. Those not wanting to be vaccinated cite a lack of knowledge regarding long-term safety and side effects as reasons. This can likely only be overcome by careful and active long-term efficacy and safety monitoring.

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Was Germany’s Lockdown in Spring 2020 Necessary? How Bad Data Quality Can Turn a Simulation Into a Delusion that Shapes the Future

Kuhbandner

Homburg

Walach³

et al. 2022

Futures

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Seasonal Effect of Sunlight on COVID-19 among Countries with and without Lock-Downs

Cited by 6 publications

References 47 publications

Reduced Social Distancing and Face Mask Wearing at Massive Soccer-Related Gatherings Did Not Affect Daily COVID-19 Infections in Argentina

Reduced Social Distancing and Face Mask Wearing at Massive Soccer-Related Gatherings Did Not Affect Daily COVID-19 Infections in Argentina

Why do people consent to receiving SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations? A representative survey in Germany

Was Germany’s Lockdown in Spring 2020 Necessary? How Bad Data Quality Can Turn a Simulation Into a Delusion that Shapes the Future

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