Summary:Background: We performed a meta-analysis to assess the presence of an annual rhythmic variability of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (RAAA) onset. Patients and methods: Eligible studies were observational studies enrolling patients with RAAA and reporting monthly incidence of RAAA. Study-specifi c estimates, i. e. monthly incidence of RAAA, were combined using the random-effects model. Chronobiological analysis was performed by applying a partial Fourier series to pooled monthly incidence by using the weighted least-squares method. Results: We identifi ed 14 eligible studies enrolling a total of 3,798 patients with RAAA. Pooled monthly incidence of RAAA was 8.7 % in January, 7.7 % in February, 8.7 % in March, 7.3 % in April, 7.8 % in May, 7.2 % in June, 7.0 % in July, 7.0 % in August, 8.1 % in September, 8.8 % in October, 8.4 % in November, and 8.3 % in December. Chronobiological analysis identifi ed a signifi cant (p = 0.0020) annual pattern in the occurrence of RAAA with a peak in December to January and a nadir in June to July. Pooled analysis demonstrated signifi cantly more incidence in December than in June (p = 0.03) as well as in January than in July (p = 0.05). Conclusions: A signifi cant annual pattern in the occurrence of RAAA with a peak in December to January and a nadir in June to July was identifi ed with signifi cantly more incidence in December than in June and in January than in July.
Keywords:Abdominal aortic aneurysm, meta-analysis, monthly variation, rupture ever, is suggested to be distinct from that of aortic dissection. Synchronous existence of AAA and AAD is believed to be rare [5], and AAD develops in the absence of a preexisting aortic aneurysm in most (> 80 %) cases [6]. Mechanisms for the rupture of AAAs and those for onset of aortic dissection may be not the same. In this article, we performed a meta-analysis to assess the presence of an annual rhythmic variability of exclusive RAAA onset.
Materials and methodsAll studies investigating monthly incidence of RAAA were identifi ed using a 2-level search strategy. First, databases including MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched through March 2017 using web-based search engines (PubMed and OVID). Second, relevant studies were identifi ed through a manual search of secondary sources including references of initially identifi ed articles and a search of reviews and commentaries. All references were downloaded for consolidation, elimination of duplicates,