The Arctic is experiencing accelerated warming, with projected air temperature anomalies up to 8.3°C by 2100 (Collins et al., 2013;Landrum & Holland, 2020), causing widespread permafrost thaw (Turetsky et al., 2020). In the Arctic, permafrost, or ground less than 0°C for two or more consecutive years (Dobiński, 2013), mediates groundwater flow, storage, and exchange with surface water and acts as an aquitard where continuous (Walvoord & Kurylyk, 2016). With permafrost degradation, including top-down thaw and thermokarst processes, groundwater flow systems become increasingly active (Bense et al., 2009;Frampton & Destouni, 2015;Ge et al., 2011), as flowpaths lengthen and deepen (Walvoord & Kurylyk, 2016) and as relative permeability increases by up to seven orders of magnitude (Watanabe & Osada, 2016). While atmospheric warming threatens all permafrost (Jorgenson et al., 2006;Vaughan et al., 2013), coastal permafrost may be at a particularly high risk of thaw due to the combined effects of sea-level rise (SLR), land and ocean warming, and coastal erosion (Fritz et al., 2017).SLR drives surface and subsurface saltwater intrusion (SWI) into freshwater systems (Werner et al., 2013) by pushing the freshwater-saltwater interface (i.e., extent of saltwater wedge) landward (Figure 1). Along Arctic coastlines, previous geophysical studies suggest that the subsurface saltwater wedge creates unfrozen conditions (Kasprzak, 2020;Keating et al., 2018). However, understanding of the effects of subsurface SWI on ice-saturated permafrost (i.e., permafrost with high ice saturation) extent is limited, particularly over decadal to centennial timescales relevant to anthropogenic impacts. When pore ice-saturation is less