Second-Order Elections: Everyone, Everywhere? Regional and National Considerations in Regional Voting

Liñeira, Robert

doi:10.1093/publius/pjw015

Cited by 9 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 73 publications

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“…Mishler and Rose 2001;Newton et al 2018;Zmerli and van der Meer 2017) and cannot possibly be 11 Although this view is increasingly contested and/or nuanced by contributions arguing that even second-order elections are somewhat 'arena-specific' (or 'level-specific'); see, e.g. Cutler (2008), Liñeira (2016. 12 As a robustness check, we controlled for Eurosceptic attitudes; whereas they are a powerful predictor for EU trust (at p < 0.001), including them in the model did not change our results for the statistical significance of the home-team effect (at p < 0.05).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

On their own turf? The level-specificity of political trust in multilevel political systems

2021

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Although the debate on roots of political trust is ongoing, many scholars agree on the relevance of such political factors as political/ideological distance between citizens and incumbents, political responsiveness and perceptions of performance. Less clear is to what extent such trust evaluations are generalized or specific for the three main political arenas in the European multilevel governance system (EU, national, local). With new data from the Netherlands, we demonstrate that trust in local, national and EU governments (1) is largely level-specific (i.e. is based on citizens’ perceptions of incumbents at a particular governance level) (2) and—at all three levels—is explained by level-specific political factors. This shows that political trust is a subjectively rational evaluation and that citizens develop meaningful political orientations vis-à-vis governments at different levels. Therefore, trust spillovers may be less relevant for explaining political trust in multilevel governance than assumed in previous research as executive governments at local, national and EU levels are judged “on their own turf”.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

On their own turf? The level-specificity of political trust in multilevel political systems

2021

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“…Provincial elections in The Netherlands can be characterised as second-order elections, which are considered less relevant than the most important elections, the national ones. As a consequence, vote choice in provincial elections would be derived from cues at the national level (Reif and Schmitt 1980;Liñeira 2016). In this election report, we will focus on two aspects connected to the second-order nature of provincial elections.…”

Section: : Heavily Nationalized Second-order Electionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The 2019 provincial elections in the Netherlands: the Rise of Forum voor Democratie after a heavily nationalized campaign

Binnema

Vollaard

2020

Regional & Federal Studies

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The 2019 provincial elections marked a spectacular victory for challenger party Forum voor Democratie and a substantial defeat for two government parties. The Liberals, led by prime minister Rutte, which had been the largest party in many recent elections, came second in a fragmenting party-political landscape. The Greens were the other opposition winner, while two opposition parties at the ideological extremes, the Socialist Party and the Freedom Party, suffered considerable losses. Regional or non-statewide parties remained a marginal phenomenon: they attained on average three percent of the votes. Further illustrating the heavily nationalized nature of the provincial elections, the campaign mainly focused on national issues such as climate change and the possible loss of the majority for the coalition parties in the Senate, which is elected by the provincial councils. The latter clearly affected turnout, which rose to over 56%, the highest turnout in provincial elections in thirty years.

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“…Comparable evidence from the study of regional elections in Germany, Spain and Canada suggests that they also tend to be subordinate to national-level politics and electoral cycles, confirming the 'second-order' nature of these contests, especially in those contexts that lack deep territorial cleavages (Hough and Jeffery 2006). More recent evidence from Spain finds that the importance of national considerations during regional elections is higher among voters with a weak attachment to the region and if there is vertical partisan congruence (Lineira 2016).…”

Section: 'Top-down' Cross-level Effects Of Economic Perceptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Party support in multi-level elections: the influence of economic perceptions and vertical congruence

Toubeau

Wagner

2018

Electoral Studies

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How does the economy influence party preferences in multi-level states? Using regional-level survey data from Canada, Germany and Spain, we show that there is a 'cross-level' effect of economic evaluations. Citizens thus take into consideration both the regional and the national economy when determining their support for incumbents at either level. However, the way in which they do so depends on whether the same party is in office at two levels or not. If so, standard reward-punishment patterns apply. If different parties are in office at the two levels, incumbents at one level are rewarded for bad and punished for good economic outcomes at the other level. Overall, the influence of cross-level economic perceptions is about half as large as that of same-level economic perceptions. Our findings have important normative implications for the signalling function of elections.

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Second-Order Elections: Everyone, Everywhere? Regional and National Considerations in Regional Voting

Cited by 9 publications

References 73 publications

On their own turf? The level-specificity of political trust in multilevel political systems

On their own turf? The level-specificity of political trust in multilevel political systems

The 2019 provincial elections in the Netherlands: the Rise of Forum voor Democratie after a heavily nationalized campaign

Party support in multi-level elections: the influence of economic perceptions and vertical congruence

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