Sectoral use of climate information in Europe: A synoptic overview

Soares, Marta Bruno; Alexander, Meghan; Dessai, Suraje

doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2017.06.001

Cited by 111 publications

(51 citation statements)

References 26 publications

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“…Because the impact of severe drought is expected to increase over the upcoming decades due to anthropogenic climate change (Füssel et al 2017, Spinoni et al 2018, there is a need for effective planning and adaptive actions to reduce the impact and the amount of related losses at all timescales relevant to decision-makers. Consequently, there has been a growing demand amongst stakeholders in the agricultural sector to gather, assess and tailor climate sources that can provide practical and actionable information (Bruno Soares et al 2018), in particular at the multi-annual timescale.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector

Solaraju-Murali

Caron

González-Reviriego

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

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Decadal climate prediction, where climate models are initialized with the contemporaneous state of the Earth system and run for a decade into the future, represents a new source of near-term climate information to better inform decisions and policies across key climate-sensitive sectors. This paper illustrates the potential usefulness of such predictions for building a climate service for agricultural needs. In particular, we assess the forecast quality of multi-model climate predictions in estimating two user-relevant drought indices, Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), at multi-annual timescales during European summer. We obtain high skill for predicting five-year average (forecast years 1-5) SPEI across Southern Europe, while for the same forecast period SPI exhibits high and significant skill over Scandinavia and its surrounding regions. In addition, an assessment of the added value of initialized decadal climate information with respect to standard uninitialized climate projections is presented. The model initialization improves the forecast skill over Central Europe, the Balkan region and Southern Scandinavia. Most of the increased skill found with initialization seems to be due to the climate forecast systems ability to improve the extended summer precipitation and potential evapotranspiration forecast, as well as their ability to adequately represent the observed effects of these climate variables on the drought indices.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector

Solaraju-Murali

Caron

González-Reviriego

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

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“…Central aspects common to these definitions are the provision of climate information/data/tools that supports user needs through engagement with the users of the services . However, despite such commonalities, all of these concepts—climate information, users, needs, provision, engagement—can be interpreted differently depending on the context (Bruno Soares, Alexander, & Dessai, ; Vaughan & Dessai, ). In addition, the concept of climate services is also often associated with other ideas and assumptions such as production, use, knowledge, impact, accessibility, customisation, added value, adaptation, etc.…”

Section: The Multiple (Potential) Meanings Of Climate Servicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Challenges to the sustainability of climate services in Europe

Buontempo

2019

WIREs Climate Change

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Climate services have emerged as a research and operational field in recent years. This development has been underpinned and supported by significant research, funding and agenda‐setting efforts such as the Global Framework for Climate Services internationally and the Roadmap for Climate Services and the Copernicus Climate Change Service in Europe. The fast pace at which this field is developing raises a number of key challenges that need to be critically examined and addressed to ensure the future development and sustainability of climate services in Europe. This opinion piece highlights a number of challenges currently threatening the viability of climate services including the complexity of the concept of climate services; the complex landscape of complementary research and development areas relevant to climate services; existing rights to freely access and use climate services; current limitations to funding structures and mechanisms and how that impacts on the development of climate services; the emphasis on co‐production as a precondition to climate services development; and the limited role of the social sciences in the research and operational field of climate services. Effectively addressing these challenges will require a commitment from the scientific and practitioner communities to engage in critical and reflective debates around the future conceptualization and operationalization of climate services in Europe. This paper aims to provide critical input to stimulate a necessary and overdue debate around the sustainability and future of climate services in Europe. This article is categorized under: Social Status of Climate Change Knowledge > Knowledge and Practice

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“…The need for climate information in various sectors in Europe is well established (Soares et al, 2018). Previous studies have shown that there is a need both for climate change information and information on decision making under large uncertainties (Turnpenny et al, 2004), not the least for the coastal region, where many aspects of society, including socio-economic and environmental issues, have to be taken into account (Tribbia and Moser, 2008).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sea Level Change: Mapping Danish Municipality Needs for Climate Information

et al. 2019

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Climate change will affect the coastline of the Baltic Sea through changes in sea level, storm surges and waves. In Denmark, a large part of the responsibility for climate adaptation lies with the local municipalities. The purpose of this study was to map the user needs for coastal climate change information of five municipalities in the Danish south western Baltic Sea and the Danish Coastal Authority in a costefficient way and to transform the mapping into local climate indicators. An interview template was customized to form the basis for telephone interviews of key stakeholders and systematic gathering of the results. The interest for the interviews was high, and response from the interviewed persons on the use of the template was very positive. During the interviews, it was clear that the municipalities have access to extensive information on the population and infrastructure, as well as detailed geographical information. The main interests were in very high quality storm surge warnings and present day and future extreme sea level and wave heights. This should be based on modeling of past storm surges and future changes, taking observations, and historical records into account. There was a big need for more detailed information than presently available, and for common scenarios, which will help the collaboration between municipalities. Within this study, the user requirements were used to define targeted climate indicators. Within the C3S CODEC project, the indicators will be provided for the municipalities, based on a downscaling of European scale storm surge, and wave simulations to local scale.

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Sectoral use of climate information in Europe: A synoptic overview

Cited by 111 publications

References 26 publications

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector

Challenges to the sustainability of climate services in Europe

Sea Level Change: Mapping Danish Municipality Needs for Climate Information

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