Selected ‘Starter Kit’ energy system modelling data for Egypt (#CCG)

Allington, Lucy; Cannone, Carla; Pappis, Ioannis; Barron, Karla Cervantes; Usher, Will; Pye, Steve; Brown, Edward; Howells, Mark; Taliotis, Constantinos; Sundin, Caroline; Sridharan, Vignesh; Ramos, Eunice; Brinkerink, Maarten; Deane, Paul; Gritsevskyi, Andrii; Moura, Gustavo; Rouget, Arnaud; Wogan, David; Barcelona, Edito; Rogner, Holger; Hirmer, Stephanie

doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-479263/v2

“…Due to the model's open-source nature, the input data are ideally free and publicly available. This overcomes a significant barrier when modelling the energy systems of countries with developing economies, as access to data has previously been proven to delay the decision-making process [30]. OSeMOSYS has a user-friendly Excel-based graphical user interface: the parameters are inputted via Climate Compatible Growth's (CCG) Simple and Nearly Done (clicSAND) interface to generate a *csv Excel output file.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-Term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt’s Energy Sector

Gibson,

Makuch,

Yeganyan

et al. 2024

Energies

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0

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Egypt has the potential to generate a significant amount of energy from renewable technologies, in particular solar PV, concentrated solar power (CSP), and onshore and offshore wind. The energy sector is reliant on fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, for electricity production and is at risk of locking itself into a high carbon pathway. Globally, reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with national energy sectors is a target outlined in the UN’s Paris Agreement. To reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with a higher dependence on fossil fuels, Egypt must consider upscaling renewable energy technologies (RETs) to achieve a clean energy transition (CET). This research modelled six scenarios using clicSAND for OSeMOSYS to identify the technologies and policy target improvements that are needed to upscale RETs within Egypt’s energy sector. The results showed that solar PV and onshore wind are key technologies to be upscaled to contribute towards Egypt’s CET. The optimal renewable target is the International Renewable Energy Agency’s (IRENA) target of 53% of electricity being sourced from RETs by 2030, which will cost USD 16.4 billion more up to 2035 than Egypt’s current Integrated Sustainable Energy Strategy (ISES) target of 42% by 2035; it also saves 732.0 MtCO2 over the entire modelling period to 2070. Socio-economic barriers to this transition are considered, such as recent discoveries of natural gas reserves combined with a history of energy insecurity, political instability impacting investor confidence, and a lack of international climate funding. The paper concludes with policy recommendations that would enable Egypt to progress towards achieving a CET.

show abstract

“…Due to the model's open-source nature, the input data is ideally free and publicly available. This overcomes a significant barrier when modelling the energy systems of countries with developing economies, as access to data has previously been proven to delay the decision-making process (Allington et al, 2021). OSeMOSYS has a user-friendly Excel-based graphical user interface: the parameters are inputted via Climate Compatible Growth's (CCG) Simple and Nearly Done (clicSAND) interface to generate a *csv Excel output file.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…If specific input data could not be sourced at the national level, parameters, such as the capacity factors for power plants, were assumed to be similar to other Northern African countries and sourced from international organisations such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and IRENA. The current energy system data, fuel costs, and transmission and distribution data were sourced from Climate Compatible Growth's (CCG) Starter Data Kit (SDK) (Allington et al, 2021) et al, 2023). Renewable constraints in the scenarios were based on policies from the New and Renewable Energy Authority (NREA) (2020) and IRENA (2018a).…”

Section: Model Data Sourcesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt's Energy Sector

Gibson

¹

2023

Preprint

0

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Egypt has the potential to generate significant amounts of renewable energy, in particular solar PV, concentrated solar power (CSP), and onshore and offshore wind. The energy sector is reliant on fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, for electricity production and is at risk of locking itself into a high carbon pathway. Globally, reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with national energy sectors is a target outlined in the UN’s Paris Agreement. To reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with a higher dependence on fossil fuels, Egypt must consider upscaling renewable energy technologies (RET) to achieve a clean energy transition (CET). This research modelled six scenarios using OSeMOSYS to identify the technologies and policy target improvements that are needed to upscale RETs within Egypt’s energy sector. The results showed that solar PV and onshore wind are key technologies to be upscaled to contribute towards Egypt’s CET. The optimal renewable target is the International Renewable Energy Agency’s (IRENA) 53% of electricity to be sourced from RETs by 2030, which will cost $16.4 billion more up to 2035 than Egypt’s current Integrated Sustainable Energy Strategy (ISES) target of 42% by 2035; it also saves 732.0 Mt of CO2 over the entire modelling period to 2070. Socio-economic barriers to this transition are considered, such as recent discoveries of natural gas reserves combined with a history of energy insecurity, political instability impacting investor confidence, and a lack of international climate funding. The paper concludes with policy recommendations that would enable Egypt to progress towards achieving a CET.

show abstract

“…Due to the model's open-source nature, the input data is ideally free and publicly available. This overcomes a signi cant barrier when modelling the energy systems of countries with developing economies, as access to data has previously been proven to delay the decision-making process (Allington et al, 2021). OSeMOSYS has a user-friendly Excel-based graphical user interface: the parameters are inputted via Climate Compatible Growth's (CCG) Simple and…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…If speci c input data could not be sourced at the national level, parameters, such as the capacity factors for power plants, were assumed to be similar to other Northern African countries and sourced from international organisations such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and IRENA. The current energy system data, fuel costs, and transmission and distribution data were sourced from Climate Compatible Growth's (CCG) Starter Data Kit (SDK) (Allington et al, 2021) (Allington et al, 2023). Renewable constraints in the scenarios were based on policies from the New and Renewable Energy Authority (NREA) (2020) and IRENA (2018a).…”

Section: Model Data Sourcesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt's Energy Sector

Gibson

¹

,

Makuch

²

,

Yeganyan

³

et al. 2023

Preprint

Self Cite

3

0

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Egypt has the potential to generate significant amounts of renewable energy, in particular solar PV, concentrated solar power (CSP), and onshore and offshore wind. The energy sector is reliant on fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, for electricity production and is at risk of locking itself into a high carbon pathway. Globally, reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with national energy sectors is a target outlined in the UN’s Paris Agreement. To reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with a higher dependence on fossil fuels, Egypt must consider upscaling renewable energy technologies (RET) to achieve a clean energy transition (CET). This research modelled six scenarios using OSeMOSYS to identify the technologies and policy target improvements that are needed to upscale RETs within Egypt’s energy sector. The results showed that solar PV and onshore wind are key technologies to be upscaled to contribute towards Egypt’s CET. The optimal renewable target is the International Renewable Energy Agency’s (IRENA) 53% of electricity to be sourced from RETs by 2030, which will cost $16.4 billion more up to 2035 than Egypt’s current Integrated Sustainable Energy Strategy (ISES) target of 42% by 2035; it also saves 732.0 Mt of CO2 over the entire modelling period to 2070. Socio-economic barriers to this transition are considered, such as recent discoveries of natural gas reserves combined with a history of energy insecurity, political instability impacting investor confidence, and a lack of international climate funding. The paper concludes with policy recommendations that would enable Egypt to progress towards achieving a CET.

show abstract

Selected ‘Starter Kit’ energy system modelling data for Egypt (#CCG)

Cited by 4 publications

References 3 publications

Long-Term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt’s Energy Sector

Long-Term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt’s Energy Sector

Long-term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt's Energy Sector

Long-term Energy System Modelling for a Clean Energy Transition in Egypt's Energy Sector

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