2022
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.06.009
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Self-perceptions about academic achievement: Evidence from Mexico City

Abstract: A growing body of evidence suggests that people exhibit large biases when processing information about themselves, but less is known about the underlying inference process. This paper studies belief updating patterns regarding academic ability in a large sample of students transitioning from middle to high school in Mexico City. The analysis takes advantage of rich and longitudinal data on subjective beliefs together with randomized feedback about individual performance on an achievement test. On average, the … Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…Several studies have used observational data to show that students' beliefs about their own abilities predict their decisions, such as college major choice or college dropout. 22 These findings also complement a recent information experiment performed in Mexico by Bobba and Frisancho (2020) who test predictions about the differential roles of the mean and variance of beliefs on educational decisions.…”
Section: Informational Constraintsmentioning
confidence: 53%
“…Several studies have used observational data to show that students' beliefs about their own abilities predict their decisions, such as college major choice or college dropout. 22 These findings also complement a recent information experiment performed in Mexico by Bobba and Frisancho (2020) who test predictions about the differential roles of the mean and variance of beliefs on educational decisions.…”
Section: Informational Constraintsmentioning
confidence: 53%
“…In the domain of education, some field experiments have investigated how relative performance feedback affects beliefs and/or choices (e.g., see Azmat & Iriberri, 2010; Bobba & Frisancho, 2021; Franco, 2019; Owen, 2020). Some of these papers also document effects that vary by gender.…”
Section: Related Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…These findings underline the informativeness of the score in the mock exam while, at the same time, point toward a high degree of persistence of priors in the distribution of posterior beliefs. We explore these issues in further details in our companion paper (Bobba & Frisancho 2022).…”
Section: Subjective Expectations About Test Performancementioning
confidence: 99%