Sensitivity Analysis of Genome-Scale Metabolic Flux Prediction

Abstract

TRIMER, Transcription Regulation Integrated with MEtabolic Regulation, is a genome-scale modeling pipeline targeting at metabolic engineering applications. Using TRIMER, regulated metabolic reactions can be effectively predicted by integrative modeling of metabolic reactions with Transcription Factor (TF)-gene regulatory network (TRN), where the TRN is modeled via Bayesian network (BN). In this paper, we focus on sensitivity analysis of metabolic flux prediction considering potential model uncertainty in TRIMER. We propose a computational strategy to construct the uncertainty class of TRN models based on the inferred regulatory order uncertainty when learning from given transcriptomic expression data and analyze the prediction sensitivity of the TRIMER pipeline for the metabolite yield of interest. The obtained sensitivity analyses can provide a useful guidance for Optimal Experimental Design (OED) to help acquire new data that can enhance TRN modeling and effectively achieve specific metabolic engineering objectives, including metabolite yield alterations. We have performed simulation experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of our developed sensitivity analysis strategy and its potential to effectively guide OED.