Background: In Mexico, in more than 150 days after the beginning of the epidemic, until August 09 a total of 480,278 cases of COVID-19 have been confirmed by the health authorities.Objective: To assess the scientific evidence that supported the verbal behaviors that the contagion curve has already flattened or that the speed of propagation has become slower down in Mexico, as the person responsible for combating the epidemic has repeatedly stated from April to the beginning of August, 2020.Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the verbal behavior of the person responsible for combating the epidemic, as well the official data of confirmed COVID-19 cases. Logistic model was applied to assess if the contagion curve has been flattened and the speed of propagation slowing down.Results: According to the data, the verbal behavior of the person responsible for combating the epidemic in Mexico cannot find any scientific support, considering that in this exercise the logistic model it is projecting that by the end of December more than 630 thousand cases of the disease could be reached in our country; also, the results shows that the speed of spread of infections of the disease has been up, despite the notorious under-registration of epidemiological indicators, among which the confirmed cases and deaths stand out.
Conclusions:In Mexico, the practice of different verbal behaviors (e.g. We tamed the pandemic, We already flattened the curve or The speed of propagation in Mexico is slowing down) do not contribute to transmitting messages that are clear, concise and credible, which translates into a potential negative impact on the practice of preventive behaviors to avoid the contagion of the SARS-CoV-2 in large segments of the population. Clinical Trial: No trial registration