Background
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia, outbreak in Wuhan, China, has led to a global pandemic. The high mortality of COVID-19 patients makes it significant to evaluate possible disease progression. This study was designed to explore the prognostic value of Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score in patients with COVID-19.
Methods
Patients diagnosed with COVID-19 of a single center in Wuhan, China from January 2020 to February 2020 were enrolled in this study. Logistic regression analysis was performed to find independent risk factor of mortality. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of CONUT score.
Results
Among 442 included patients, there were 79 non-survivors with mortality of 17.9%. Compared with survivors, the median age (p < 0.001) and male ratio (p = 0.042) were higher in non-survivors. Non-survivors had higher incidence of comorbidities including hypertension (p < 0.001), chronic lung disease (p = 0.001) and cardiovascular disease (p = 0.005). Complications such as respiratory failure(p < 0.001), acute kidney injury (AKI) (p < 0.001) occurred more frequently in non-survivors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CONUT (p = 0.002), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) (p = 0.020) were risk factor of mortality in COVID-19 patients. Area under the ROC curve (AUC) of CONUT and Nutrition risk screening 2002 (NRS2002) score were 0.813 and 0.795, respectively. Comprised of CONUT, LDH, CRP, the constructed prognostic model had higher AUC of 0.923 (Z = 3.5210, p < 0.001).
Conclusion
CONUT is an independent risk factor of mortality in COVID-19 patients. Evaluating CONUT is beneficial for clinicians to predict the progression of COVID-19 patients and strengthen monitoring and management to improve prognosis.