Background
Adiponectin, particularly high-molecular weight adiponectin, and resistin are recently discovered adipokines that may provide a molecular link between adiposity and type 2 diabetes.
Objective
To evaluate whether total and high-molecular weight adiponectin and resistin are associated with the future risk for type 2 diabetes, independent of obesity and other known diabetes risk factors.
Design
Prospective, nested case-control study.
Settings
United States.
Participants
1,038 initially healthy women of the Nurses’ Health Study who developed type 2 diabetes after blood sampling (1989–1990) through 2002 and 1,136 matched control subjects.
Measurements
Plasma concentrations of adipokines were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays.
Results
In multivariate models adjusting for diabetes risk factors including body-mass index (BMI), both higher total and high-molecular weight adiponectin levels were associated with a substantially lower risk for type 2 diabetes. The odds ratios comparing the highest with the lowest quintiles were 0.17 (95% CI, 0.12–0.25) for total adiponectin and 0.10 (CI, 0.06–0.15) for high-molecular weight adiponectin. In addition, a higher high-molecular weight-to-total adiponectin ratio was associated with a significantly lower risk even after adjusting for total adiponectin (odds ratio, 0.45 [CI, 0.31–0.65]). In the multivariate model adjusting for diabetes risk factors except BMI, high resistin levels were significantly associated with an increased diabetes risk for (odds ratio, 1.68 [CI, 1.25–2.25]). However, after additional adjustment for BMI, this association was no longer statistically significant (odds ratio, 1.28 [CI, 0.93–1.76]).
Limitations
Residual confounding by imperfectly or unmeasured confounders cannot be excluded.
Conclusions
These results indicate that adiponectin, but not resistin is strongly associated with diabetes risk independent of BMI. The high-molecular weight-to-total adiponectin ratio is related to diabetes risk independent of total adiponectin, suggesting an important role of the relative proportion of high-molecular weight adiponectin in diabetes pathogenesis.