Shifting Votes on Shifting Sands: Opposition Party Electoral Performance in Dominant Party Authoritarian Regimes

White, Allison C.

doi:10.1080/10758216.2019.1631183

Cited by 3 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 73 publications

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“…While these arguments can provide a general theoretical understanding of the formation and consolidation of the dominant party regime, they nonetheless obscure important nuances shaping the dynamics of inter and intra-party interaction in contemporary Russia. First, despite some important exceptions (Dollbaum, 2017;White, 2020), the literature on party co-optation tends to represent all the parties of the systemic opposition as similar in their interaction with the regime (Turovsky, 2015). Although the parties of the systemic opposition might share a similar role in providing the regime with the necessary legitimacy, their ideological, historical and organizational features play an important role affecting the ability of the regime to co-opt them.…”

Section: Party-level Factors and The 'Dual Commitment' Problem In Aut...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Between Loyalty and Opposition

Bondarenko

2023

Communist and Post-Communist Studies

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This article analyzes intra-party dynamics and the transformation of the role of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) within the Russian political system. Although the party is considered to be a member of the so-called “loyal” opposition, the increasing volatility of the party system and growing political instability have implications for future relations between the KPRF and the regime. The article argues that despite the organizational strength and demonstrated loyalty to the regime, the party is currently affected by the problem of “dual commitment,” epitomized by a growing center-regions cleavage and ideological incoherence. These two vectors of internal divide are shaped by the context emerging from different intra-system trends and by demographic trends affecting the interaction between the leadership and the rank-and-file of the KPRF. While in the wake of some surprising results from the 2021 legislative elections, the party still seems committed to demonstrating loyalty to the regime; in the long run, the growing intra-party cleavage is likely to affect the role of the KPRF within the party system, opening a new window of opportunity for opposition politics in Russian regions.

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Section: Party-level Factors and The 'Dual Commitment' Problem In Aut...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The main electoral breakthrough for the KPRF was, however, achieved in the of the federation, 10 showing its capacity of performing relatively well in periods of crisis within the regime (White, 2020) capitalizing on political realignment and the general socio-economic crisis further sharpened by the pandemic.…”

Section: The Crisis Of the 'Party Of Power'mentioning

confidence: 99%

Between Loyalty and Opposition

Bondarenko

2023

Communist and Post-Communist Studies

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“…in urban and wealthy areas with more educated populations (White 2020). However, not all people are subjected to authoritarian mobilization.…”

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confidence: 99%

“…Whilst there have been a large number of studies of the Kremlin's party of power, United Russia (UR) Moraski 2009, 2010;Panov and Ross 2013;Panov and Ross, 2019;White 2015White , 2016Saikkonen 2016;Ross and Panov 2019), and White (2020) has provided an excellent account of the territorial support for the CPRF, there have been no studies which have conducted a comparative analysis of all three systemic opposition parties.…”

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confidence: 99%

“…The local level provides more disaggregated data than the regional level data, and it also substantially increases the number of observations, which has undoubted advantages in large-N studies. Despite the fact, that collecting local-level data in Russia is more problematic, a number of scholars have successfully overcome such difficulties, in studies of authoritarian mobilization (Saikkonen 2017), ethnic representation in the Duma (Goodnow and Moser 2012;White and Saikkonen 2016), the scope of electoral manipulation (Goodnow, Moser, and Smith 2014;Moser and White 2017;Saikkonen and White 2021), and, as noted above, the electoral performance of the CPRF (White 2020). Our dataset, however, differs from previous studies, as it uses the most recent 2010 All-Russian Population Census, and the latest social and economic data extracted from the Database of Indicators of Municipalities, available on the Rosstat web-site (Federal State Statistic Service, rosstat.gov.ru).…”

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‘Mobilized voting’ versus ‘performance voting’ in electoral autocracies: Territorial variations in the levels of support for the systemic opposition parties in Russian municipalities

Panov

Ross

2021

Regional & Federal Studies

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The main task of authoritarian elections is to guarantee the survival of the regime. Achieving this goal, authoritarian rulers rely on authoritarian electoral mobilization that is employed by political machines, targeted mostly on poor and dependent voters. At the same time, since electoral autocracies permit opposition parties, those voters, who avoid mobilization, are able to make a choice between the government and the opposition. If they are dissatisfied by their personal or social conditions, they are liable to engage in 'performance voting' and give their support to the opposition. In this article, we examine how the two logics of 'mobilized voting' and 'performance voting' relate to each other. The study is based on a large-N analysis of local level variations in the electoral support of Russia's three systemic opposition parties in 2016 Duma elections, and a unique dataset comprised of electoral and social-economic data, from local (municipal) units.

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Pragmatism and protest: Russia’s communist party through Covid-19 and beyond

Blackburn,

Hutcheson

2024

Eur Polit Sci

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The Covid-19 epidemic came at a sensitive time for Russia’s leadership, which was attempting a political reset and structural reforms, including the removal of President Putin’s presidential term limits. This article examines how issues related to the pandemic provided new opportunities for the systemic opposition, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, who emerged as the main beneficiaries after capitalising on opportunities created by the epidemic. The underappreciated role of systemic opposition parties in electoral authoritarian systems, which balance “voice” and “loyalty” to benefit both themselves and the regime, is examined in the context of the Covid-19 crisis.

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Shifting Votes on Shifting Sands: Opposition Party Electoral Performance in Dominant Party Authoritarian Regimes

Cited by 3 publications

References 73 publications

Between Loyalty and Opposition

Between Loyalty and Opposition

‘Mobilized voting’ versus ‘performance voting’ in electoral autocracies: Territorial variations in the levels of support for the systemic opposition parties in Russian municipalities

Pragmatism and protest: Russia’s communist party through Covid-19 and beyond

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